Dennis Weilmann, the CDU incumbent since 2021, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus due to strong name recognition, established local governance record, and CDU positioning in Niedersachsen municipal contests. The September 13, 2026, election occurs against a backdrop of Volkswagen-related economic pressures on city finances, where Weilmann has emphasized continued partnership alongside diversification efforts. Fragmented opposition among SPD, AfD, Green, FDP, and independent candidates has limited any single challenger's ability to consolidate support for a first-round upset or runoff. Historical patterns of incumbent advantages in German local races and pre-election expectations of an absolute majority further reinforce market pricing. Late developments such as sharp turnout swings or major scandals remain the primary variables that could realistically shift outcomes before final tallies.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДеннис Вайльманн 99.0%
Карстен Шнайдер <1%
Йенс Хортмайер <1%
Тимоти Лука Петерсен <1%
$23,633 Объем
$23,633 Объем

Деннис Вайльманн
99%

Карстен Шнайдер
1%

Йенс Хортмайер
<1%

Тимоти Лука Петерсен
<1%

Марко Мейнерс
<1%

Андреас Клаффен
<1%

Томас Шлик
<1%
Деннис Вайльманн 99.0%
Карстен Шнайдер <1%
Йенс Хортмайер <1%
Тимоти Лука Петерсен <1%
$23,633 Объем
$23,633 Объем

Деннис Вайльманн
99%

Карстен Шнайдер
1%

Йенс Хортмайер
<1%

Тимоти Лука Петерсен
<1%

Марко Мейнерс
<1%

Андреас Клаффен
<1%

Томас Шлик
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Wolfsburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Wolfsburg, including its election office and city election committee.
Открытие рынка: Jul 24, 2026, 7:16 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Wolfsburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Wolfsburg, including its election office and city election committee.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Dennis Weilmann, the CDU incumbent since 2021, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus due to strong name recognition, established local governance record, and CDU positioning in Niedersachsen municipal contests. The September 13, 2026, election occurs against a backdrop of Volkswagen-related economic pressures on city finances, where Weilmann has emphasized continued partnership alongside diversification efforts. Fragmented opposition among SPD, AfD, Green, FDP, and independent candidates has limited any single challenger's ability to consolidate support for a first-round upset or runoff. Historical patterns of incumbent advantages in German local races and pre-election expectations of an absolute majority further reinforce market pricing. Late developments such as sharp turnout swings or major scandals remain the primary variables that could realistically shift outcomes before final tallies.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы