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Политика·Канада

Победитель выборов мэра Торонто

icon for Победитель выборов мэра Торонто
Политика·Канада

Победитель выборов мэра Торонто

Olivia Chow 78%

Brad Bradford 19%

Ana Bailão 2.1%

Kevin Clarke <1%

Polymarket

$30,162 Объем

Olivia Chow 78%

Brad Bradford 19%

Ana Bailão 2.1%

Kevin Clarke <1%

Polymarket

$30,162 Объем

icon for Olivia Chow

Olivia Chow

$7,299 Объем

78%

icon for Brad Bradford

Brad Bradford

$8,943 Объем

19%

icon for Ana Bailão

Ana Bailão

$3,277 Объем

2%

icon for Kevin Clarke

Kevin Clarke

$1,924 Объем

1%

icon for Anthony Furey

Anthony Furey

$2,169 Объем

<1%

icon for Michael Ford

Michael Ford

$2,084 Объем

<1%

icon for Marco Mendicino

Marco Mendicino

$2,931 Объем

<1%

icon for John Tory

John Tory

$1,536 Объем

<1%

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow dominates trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability to win Toronto's October 26, 2026 mayoral election, reflecting her consistent polling leads as the strongest contender in a consolidating field. A Liaison Strategies survey released May 14 showed Chow at 50% versus Coun. Brad Bradford's 37% among decided voters—her widest margin yet—despite voter frustrations over traffic and city services, underscoring incumbency advantages and name recognition ahead of the August 21 nomination deadline. Bradford, at 19%, gains from dropouts like John Tory and Michael Ford but trails amid accusations of Chow running a shadow campaign. Minor candidates like Ana Bailão languish below 3% due to limited momentum and visibility.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Объем
$30,162
Дата окончания
26 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow dominates trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability to win Toronto's October 26, 2026 mayoral election, reflecting her consistent polling leads as the strongest contender in a consolidating field. A Liaison Strategies survey released May 14 showed Chow at 50% versus Coun. Brad Bradford's 37% among decided voters—her widest margin yet—despite voter frustrations over traffic and city services, underscoring incumbency advantages and name recognition ahead of the August 21 nomination deadline. Bradford, at 19%, gains from dropouts like John Tory and Michael Ford but trails amid accusations of Chow running a shadow campaign. Minor candidates like Ana Bailão languish below 3% due to limited momentum and visibility.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Объем
$30,162
Дата окончания
26 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов мэра Торонто» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Olivia Chow» с 78%, за ним следует «Brad Bradford» с 19%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 78¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 78%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов мэра Торонто» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $30.2K с момента запуска рынка Apr 1, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов мэра Торонто», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов мэра Торонто» — «Olivia Chow» с 78%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 78%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Brad Bradford» с 19%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов мэра Торонто» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.