Incumbent Olivia Chow holds a commanding position in the Toronto mayoral race for the October 26, 2026 election, supported by high name recognition and consistent leads in multiple polls despite a narrowing gap with Councillor Brad Bradford. Recent surveys, including August 2026 data showing Chow at 47% and Bradford at 40% among decided voters, reflect Bradford's gains and the entry of Chris Alexander at 10%, yet trader consensus prices Chow far ahead. Lower-probability candidates such as Marco Mendicino and former mayor John Tory register minimal support, underscoring limited viable alternatives in current assessments. Key factors include incumbency advantages, campaign organization, and voter turnout patterns in a multi-candidate field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOlivia Chow 85%
Brad Bradford 15%
Marco Mendicino 1.0%
John Tory <1%
$131,380 Объем
$131,380 Объем
26 окт. 2026 г.
Olivia Chow
85%
Brad Bradford
15%
Marco Mendicino
1%
John Tory
1%
Anthony Furey
<1%
Kevin Clarke
<1%
Ana Bailão
<1%
Michael Ford
<1%
Olivia Chow 85%
Brad Bradford 15%
Marco Mendicino 1.0%
John Tory <1%
$131,380 Объем
$131,380 Объем
26 окт. 2026 г.
Olivia Chow
$31,609 Объем
85%
Brad Bradford
$35,039 Объем
15%
Marco Mendicino
$15,119 Объем
1%
John Tory
$10,533 Объем
1%
Anthony Furey
$8,321 Объем
<1%
Kevin Clarke
$8,659 Объем
<1%
Ana Bailão
$10,635 Объем
<1%
Michael Ford
$11,463 Объем
<1%
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Olivia Chow holds a commanding position in the Toronto mayoral race for the October 26, 2026 election, supported by high name recognition and consistent leads in multiple polls despite a narrowing gap with Councillor Brad Bradford. Recent surveys, including August 2026 data showing Chow at 47% and Bradford at 40% among decided voters, reflect Bradford's gains and the entry of Chris Alexander at 10%, yet trader consensus prices Chow far ahead. Lower-probability candidates such as Marco Mendicino and former mayor John Tory register minimal support, underscoring limited viable alternatives in current assessments. Key factors include incumbency advantages, campaign organization, and voter turnout patterns in a multi-candidate field.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Объем
$131,380Дата окончания
26 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Olivia Chow holds a commanding position in the Toronto mayoral race for the October 26, 2026 election, supported by high name recognition and consistent leads in multiple polls despite a narrowing gap with Councillor Brad Bradford. Recent surveys, including August 2026 data showing Chow at 47% and Bradford at 40% among decided voters, reflect Bradford's gains and the entry of Chris Alexander at 10%, yet trader consensus prices Chow far ahead. Lower-probability candidates such as Marco Mendicino and former mayor John Tory register minimal support, underscoring limited viable alternatives in current assessments. Key factors include incumbency advantages, campaign organization, and voter turnout patterns in a multi-candidate field.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Объем
$131,380Дата окончания
26 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Olivia Chow holds a commanding position in the Toronto mayoral race for the October 26, 2026 election, supported by high name recognition and consistent leads in multiple polls despite a narrowing gap with Councillor Brad Bradford. Recent surveys, including August 2026 data showing Chow at 47% and Bradford at 40% among decided voters, reflect Bradford's gains and the entry of Chris Alexander at 10%, yet trader consensus prices Chow far ahead. Lower-probability candidates such as Marco Mendicino and former mayor John Tory register minimal support, underscoring limited viable alternatives in current assessments. Key factors include incumbency advantages, campaign organization, and voter turnout patterns in a multi-candidate field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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