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icon for Победитель парламентских выборов в Швеции

Победитель парламентских выборов в Швеции

icon for Победитель парламентских выборов в Швеции

Победитель парламентских выборов в Швеции

Шведская социал-демократическая партия (S) 91%

Шведские демократы (SD) 4.3%

Умеренная коалиционная партия (M) 3.6%

Гражданская коалиция (MED) <1%

Polymarket

$1,100,299 Объем

Шведская социал-демократическая партия (S) 91%

Шведские демократы (SD) 4.3%

Умеренная коалиционная партия (M) 3.6%

Гражданская коалиция (MED) <1%

Polymarket

$1,100,299 Объем

icon for Шведская социал-демократическая партия (S)

Шведская социал-демократическая партия (S)

$36,110 Объем

91%

icon for Шведские демократы (SD)

Шведские демократы (SD)

$513,900 Объем

4%

icon for Умеренная коалиционная партия (M)

Умеренная коалиционная партия (M)

$380,469 Объем

4%

icon for Гражданская коалиция (MED)

Гражданская коалиция (MED)

$14,084 Объем

1%

icon for Левая партия (V)

Левая партия (V)

$15,128 Объем

<1%

icon for Христианские демократы (KD)

Христианские демократы (KD)

$14,543 Объем

<1%

icon for Центристская партия (C)

Центристская партия (C)

$16,666 Объем

<1%

icon for Либералы (L)

Либералы (L)

$14,829 Объем

<1%

icon for Партия зелёных (MP)

Партия зелёных (MP)

$94,570 Объем

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Sustained polling leads position the Swedish Social Democratic Party as the clear frontrunner to win the most seats in the September 2026 Riksdag election. Recent surveys from Ipsos, Novus, and Demoskop place S support near 33 percent, 13 points ahead of the Sweden Democrats and ahead of the Moderates, with the left bloc holding a narrow overall edge. This stability reflects voter preferences amid the current Tidö government's handling of economic and security issues, reinforced by S's long-standing status as Sweden's largest party under proportional representation. Trader consensus at over 90 percent implied probability aligns with these trends. Potential shifts could stem from late-campaign developments such as a right-wing surge on immigration policy, economic downturns, or scandals affecting S leader Magdalena Andersson, though the 4 percent threshold and bloc dynamics limit rapid changes.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Объем
$1,100,299
Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Sustained polling leads position the Swedish Social Democratic Party as the clear frontrunner to win the most seats in the September 2026 Riksdag election. Recent surveys from Ipsos, Novus, and Demoskop place S support near 33 percent, 13 points ahead of the Sweden Democrats and ahead of the Moderates, with the left bloc holding a narrow overall edge. This stability reflects voter preferences amid the current Tidö government's handling of economic and security issues, reinforced by S's long-standing status as Sweden's largest party under proportional representation. Trader consensus at over 90 percent implied probability aligns with these trends. Potential shifts could stem from late-campaign developments such as a right-wing surge on immigration policy, economic downturns, or scandals affecting S leader Magdalena Andersson, though the 4 percent threshold and bloc dynamics limit rapid changes.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Объем
$1,100,299
Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель парламентских выборов в Швеции» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 9 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Шведская социал-демократическая партия (S)» с 91%, за ним следует «Шведские демократы (SD)» с 4%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 91¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 91%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель парламентских выборов в Швеции» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $1.1 million с момента запуска рынка Dec 4, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель парламентских выборов в Швеции», просмотри 9 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель парламентских выборов в Швеции» — «Шведская социал-демократическая партия (S)» с 91%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 91%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Шведские демократы (SD)» с 4%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель парламентских выборов в Швеции» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.