Incumbent KMT mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds an 85% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Keelung mayoral race, reflecting his party nomination for re-election and established local support ahead of the November 28, 2026 vote. Recent polling shows him ahead of DPP nominee Tung Tzu-wei, though the margin narrowed in one survey with a sizable undecided share, while Hsieh’s survival of a 2024 recall effort underscores his resilience against opposition challenges. Trader consensus prices in the advantages of incumbency, KMT organizational strength, and the city’s historical voting patterns, tempered by the possibility of shifts from late-campaign developments or turnout variations among key blocs. Tung Tzu-wei remains the primary alternative at lower odds, with other listed candidates reflecting broader uncertainty in a multi-candidate field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
Се Куо-лян
85%
Тун Цзывэй
8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
Се Куо-лян
$875 Объем
85%
Тун Цзывэй
$315 Объем
8%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent KMT mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds an 85% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Keelung mayoral race, reflecting his party nomination for re-election and established local support ahead of the November 28, 2026 vote. Recent polling shows him ahead of DPP nominee Tung Tzu-wei, though the margin narrowed in one survey with a sizable undecided share, while Hsieh’s survival of a 2024 recall effort underscores his resilience against opposition challenges. Trader consensus prices in the advantages of incumbency, KMT organizational strength, and the city’s historical voting patterns, tempered by the possibility of shifts from late-campaign developments or turnout variations among key blocs. Tung Tzu-wei remains the primary alternative at lower odds, with other listed candidates reflecting broader uncertainty in a multi-candidate field.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
Объем
$1,190Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent KMT mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds an 85% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Keelung mayoral race, reflecting his party nomination for re-election and established local support ahead of the November 28, 2026 vote. Recent polling shows him ahead of DPP nominee Tung Tzu-wei, though the margin narrowed in one survey with a sizable undecided share, while Hsieh’s survival of a 2024 recall effort underscores his resilience against opposition challenges. Trader consensus prices in the advantages of incumbency, KMT organizational strength, and the city’s historical voting patterns, tempered by the possibility of shifts from late-campaign developments or turnout variations among key blocs. Tung Tzu-wei remains the primary alternative at lower odds, with other listed candidates reflecting broader uncertainty in a multi-candidate field.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$1,190Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent KMT mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds an 85% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Keelung mayoral race, reflecting his party nomination for re-election and established local support ahead of the November 28, 2026 vote. Recent polling shows him ahead of DPP nominee Tung Tzu-wei, though the margin narrowed in one survey with a sizable undecided share, while Hsieh’s survival of a 2024 recall effort underscores his resilience against opposition challenges. Trader consensus prices in the advantages of incumbency, KMT organizational strength, and the city’s historical voting patterns, tempered by the possibility of shifts from late-campaign developments or turnout variations among key blocs. Tung Tzu-wei remains the primary alternative at lower odds, with other listed candidates reflecting broader uncertainty in a multi-candidate field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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