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icon for Победитель выборов магистрата округа Ляньцзян

Победитель выборов магистрата округа Ляньцзян

icon for Победитель выборов магистрата округа Ляньцзян

Победитель выборов магистрата округа Ляньцзян

Ван Чжунмин 88%

Цао Эр-юань 4.3%

Цао Эр-чжан <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Ван Чжунмин 88%

Цао Эр-юань 4.3%

Цао Эр-чжан <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Ван Чжунмин

Ван Чжунмин

$4,073 Объем

88%

icon for Цао Эр-юань

Цао Эр-юань

$777 Объем

4%

icon for Цао Эр-чжан

Цао Эр-чжан

$1,000 Объем

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Chung-ming, the Kuomintang incumbent magistrate of Lienchiang County, holds a dominant position in the November 28, 2026, election for county magistrate. He secured the KMT nomination in June 2026 and benefits from incumbency advantages in this small, traditionally KMT-leaning offshore county. His primary challenger, independent candidate Tsao Erh-yuan, previously contested the seat in 2022 and is running again after candidate registration closed in early September. No Democratic Progressive Party nominee entered the race. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with Wang’s established local support and the structural barriers facing challengers in this low-turnout jurisdiction, where recent registration outcomes and party backing reinforce the leading probabilities.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$5,850
Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 9:06 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Chung-ming, the Kuomintang incumbent magistrate of Lienchiang County, holds a dominant position in the November 28, 2026, election for county magistrate. He secured the KMT nomination in June 2026 and benefits from incumbency advantages in this small, traditionally KMT-leaning offshore county. His primary challenger, independent candidate Tsao Erh-yuan, previously contested the seat in 2022 and is running again after candidate registration closed in early September. No Democratic Progressive Party nominee entered the race. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with Wang’s established local support and the structural barriers facing challengers in this low-turnout jurisdiction, where recent registration outcomes and party backing reinforce the leading probabilities.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$5,850
Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 9:06 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов магистрата округа Ляньцзян» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 3 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Ван Чжунмин» с 88%, за ним следует «Цао Эр-юань» с 4%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 88¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 88%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Победитель выборов магистрата округа Ляньцзян» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 14, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов магистрата округа Ляньцзян», просмотри 3 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов магистрата округа Ляньцзян» — «Ван Чжунмин» с 88%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 88%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Цао Эр-юань» с 4%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов магистрата округа Ляньцзян» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.