Wang Chung-ming, the Kuomintang incumbent magistrate of Lienchiang County, holds a dominant position in the November 28, 2026, election for county magistrate. He secured the KMT nomination in June 2026 and benefits from incumbency advantages in this small, traditionally KMT-leaning offshore county. His primary challenger, independent candidate Tsao Erh-yuan, previously contested the seat in 2022 and is running again after candidate registration closed in early September. No Democratic Progressive Party nominee entered the race. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with Wang’s established local support and the structural barriers facing challengers in this low-turnout jurisdiction, where recent registration outcomes and party backing reinforce the leading probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВан Чжунмин 88%
Цао Эр-юань 4.3%
Цао Эр-чжан <1%

Ван Чжунмин
88%

Цао Эр-юань
4%

Цао Эр-чжан
<1%
Ван Чжунмин 88%
Цао Эр-юань 4.3%
Цао Эр-чжан <1%

Ван Чжунмин
88%

Цао Эр-юань
4%

Цао Эр-чжан
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 9:06 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Wang Chung-ming, the Kuomintang incumbent magistrate of Lienchiang County, holds a dominant position in the November 28, 2026, election for county magistrate. He secured the KMT nomination in June 2026 and benefits from incumbency advantages in this small, traditionally KMT-leaning offshore county. His primary challenger, independent candidate Tsao Erh-yuan, previously contested the seat in 2022 and is running again after candidate registration closed in early September. No Democratic Progressive Party nominee entered the race. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with Wang’s established local support and the structural barriers facing challengers in this low-turnout jurisdiction, where recent registration outcomes and party backing reinforce the leading probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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