Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and current Taitung County Council speaker, holds the strongest position in the November 28, 2026, magistrate race to succeed term-limited incumbent Yao Ching-ling. KMT dominance in eastern Taiwan counties and the absence of a viable independent challenger after Liu Chao-hao's exit underpin trader consensus around her lead. DPP legislator Chen Ying remains the main opposition contender, with former President Tsai Ing-wen agreeing in early August to chair her campaign effort. Recent developments, including no penalties for the incumbent's Straits Forum appearance, have produced limited movement in positioning. Other listed candidates reflect lower implied probabilities consistent with the two-party structure typical of Taiwan local magistrate contests.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоУ Сю-хуа 74%
Чэнь Ин 19%
Ли У Инчжи 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
У Сю-хуа
74%
Чэнь Ин
19%
Ли У Инчжи
10%
У Сю-хуа 74%
Чэнь Ин 19%
Ли У Инчжи 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
У Сю-хуа
$632 Объем
74%
Чэнь Ин
$428 Объем
19%
Ли У Инчжи
$184 Объем
10%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and current Taitung County Council speaker, holds the strongest position in the November 28, 2026, magistrate race to succeed term-limited incumbent Yao Ching-ling. KMT dominance in eastern Taiwan counties and the absence of a viable independent challenger after Liu Chao-hao's exit underpin trader consensus around her lead. DPP legislator Chen Ying remains the main opposition contender, with former President Tsai Ing-wen agreeing in early August to chair her campaign effort. Recent developments, including no penalties for the incumbent's Straits Forum appearance, have produced limited movement in positioning. Other listed candidates reflect lower implied probabilities consistent with the two-party structure typical of Taiwan local magistrate contests.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Объем
$1,243Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and current Taitung County Council speaker, holds the strongest position in the November 28, 2026, magistrate race to succeed term-limited incumbent Yao Ching-ling. KMT dominance in eastern Taiwan counties and the absence of a viable independent challenger after Liu Chao-hao's exit underpin trader consensus around her lead. DPP legislator Chen Ying remains the main opposition contender, with former President Tsai Ing-wen agreeing in early August to chair her campaign effort. Recent developments, including no penalties for the incumbent's Straits Forum appearance, have produced limited movement in positioning. Other listed candidates reflect lower implied probabilities consistent with the two-party structure typical of Taiwan local magistrate contests.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$1,243Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and current Taitung County Council speaker, holds the strongest position in the November 28, 2026, magistrate race to succeed term-limited incumbent Yao Ching-ling. KMT dominance in eastern Taiwan counties and the absence of a viable independent challenger after Liu Chao-hao's exit underpin trader consensus around her lead. DPP legislator Chen Ying remains the main opposition contender, with former President Tsai Ing-wen agreeing in early August to chair her campaign effort. Recent developments, including no penalties for the incumbent's Straits Forum appearance, have produced limited movement in positioning. Other listed candidates reflect lower implied probabilities consistent with the two-party structure typical of Taiwan local magistrate contests.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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