Cheng Chao-fang maintains a trader consensus lead at 71% for the November 28, 2026, Hsinchu County magistrate election, ahead of Hsu Hsin-ying at 28.5% and other candidates near zero. The DPP nominee, current Zhubei mayor, benefits from recent polling momentum in one major survey showing an 8.3-point edge and cross-party support among independents and younger voters, building on his record of local governance and urban development. Hsu, the KMT legislator who secured her nomination via primary, has emphasized transportation infrastructure and clean governance but faces mixed poll results, including a rival survey placing her ahead, alongside earlier internal party concerns over vote prospects and strained KMT-TPP coordination in the county. With the vote two weeks away and historical DPP challenges in the area, the pricing reflects trader assessment of Cheng's structural advantages in key population centers amid tightening final-week dynamics.