**Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) leads trader consensus at 55% as recent SKDS polls place it first with 17–19% support, ahead of SV and LPV, positioning it for the largest seat share in the 100-member Saeima under proportional representation.** LPV and SV follow in the low-to-mid teens in July surveys, reflecting populist and sovereignist appeal amid dissatisfaction with the incumbent JV-PRO-ZZS coalition, which polls show would lose its majority. The October 3 election timeline and five-percent threshold concentrate attention on these three parties’ trajectories, while smaller groups like PRO, NA, and JV trail due to coalition fatigue and limited recent momentum. No major late-breaking events have shifted the field since mid-summer polling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель парламентских выборов в Латвии
Победитель парламентских выборов в Латвии
AS 55.2%
LPV 21%
SV 18.2%
ПРО 6.0%
$185,457 Объем
$185,457 Объем
3 окт. 2026 г.
AS
55%
LPV
21%
SV
18%
ПРО
6%
NA
2%
JV
2%
С
<1%
ST!
<1%
ЗЗС
<1%
AS 55.2%
LPV 21%
SV 18.2%
ПРО 6.0%
$185,457 Объем
$185,457 Объем
3 окт. 2026 г.
AS
$31,307 Объем
55%
LPV
$22,240 Объем
21%
SV
$22,188 Объем
18%
ПРО
$28,870 Объем
6%
NA
$7,820 Объем
2%
JV
$12,190 Объем
2%
С
$4,579 Объем
<1%
ST!
$3,274 Объем
<1%
ЗЗС
$52,989 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).**Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) leads trader consensus at 55% as recent SKDS polls place it first with 17–19% support, ahead of SV and LPV, positioning it for the largest seat share in the 100-member Saeima under proportional representation.** LPV and SV follow in the low-to-mid teens in July surveys, reflecting populist and sovereignist appeal amid dissatisfaction with the incumbent JV-PRO-ZZS coalition, which polls show would lose its majority. The October 3 election timeline and five-percent threshold concentrate attention on these three parties’ trajectories, while smaller groups like PRO, NA, and JV trail due to coalition fatigue and limited recent momentum. No major late-breaking events have shifted the field since mid-summer polling.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
Объем
$185,457Дата окончания
3 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).**Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) leads trader consensus at 55% as recent SKDS polls place it first with 17–19% support, ahead of SV and LPV, positioning it for the largest seat share in the 100-member Saeima under proportional representation.** LPV and SV follow in the low-to-mid teens in July surveys, reflecting populist and sovereignist appeal amid dissatisfaction with the incumbent JV-PRO-ZZS coalition, which polls show would lose its majority. The October 3 election timeline and five-percent threshold concentrate attention on these three parties’ trajectories, while smaller groups like PRO, NA, and JV trail due to coalition fatigue and limited recent momentum. No major late-breaking events have shifted the field since mid-summer polling.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Объем
$185,457Дата окончания
3 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) leads trader consensus at 55% as recent SKDS polls place it first with 17–19% support, ahead of SV and LPV, positioning it for the largest seat share in the 100-member Saeima under proportional representation.** LPV and SV follow in the low-to-mid teens in July surveys, reflecting populist and sovereignist appeal amid dissatisfaction with the incumbent JV-PRO-ZZS coalition, which polls show would lose its majority. The October 3 election timeline and five-percent threshold concentrate attention on these three parties’ trajectories, while smaller groups like PRO, NA, and JV trail due to coalition fatigue and limited recent momentum. No major late-breaking events have shifted the field since mid-summer polling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Will SV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?
30%
Выиграет ли Шведская социал-демократическая партия (S) наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в Швеции в 2026 году?
98%
Да
Выиграет ли «Единая Россия» (ЕР) наибольшее количество мест на следующих выборах в Государственную думу?
98%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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