Recent SKDS polling trends position Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) as the frontrunner for the October 3, 2026, Saeima election, reflecting sustained voter support above 17 percent amid a fragmented field. LPV and SV trail as the next strongest contenders, with Progressives also competitive near the 5 percent threshold needed for seats. The incumbent New Unity-led coalition has seen support erode in surveys, while regionalist and conservative alliances maintain steady backing. With roughly seven weeks until voting, trader consensus on AS as the likely plurality winner aligns with these consistent poll leads, though coalition negotiations after results could still shift final outcomes. No major late-breaking events have altered the landscape in recent weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель парламентских выборов в Латвии
Победитель парламентских выборов в Латвии
AS 55.3%
LPV 21%
SV 16.8%
ПРО 6.0%
$185,457 Объем
$185,457 Объем
3 окт. 2026 г.
AS
55%
LPV
21%
SV
17%
ПРО
6%
NA
2%
JV
2%
С
<1%
ST!
<1%
ЗЗС
<1%
AS 55.3%
LPV 21%
SV 16.8%
ПРО 6.0%
$185,457 Объем
$185,457 Объем
3 окт. 2026 г.
AS
$31,307 Объем
55%
LPV
$22,240 Объем
21%
SV
$22,188 Объем
17%
ПРО
$28,870 Объем
6%
NA
$7,820 Объем
2%
JV
$12,190 Объем
2%
С
$4,579 Объем
<1%
ST!
$3,274 Объем
<1%
ЗЗС
$52,989 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent SKDS polling trends position Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) as the frontrunner for the October 3, 2026, Saeima election, reflecting sustained voter support above 17 percent amid a fragmented field. LPV and SV trail as the next strongest contenders, with Progressives also competitive near the 5 percent threshold needed for seats. The incumbent New Unity-led coalition has seen support erode in surveys, while regionalist and conservative alliances maintain steady backing. With roughly seven weeks until voting, trader consensus on AS as the likely plurality winner aligns with these consistent poll leads, though coalition negotiations after results could still shift final outcomes. No major late-breaking events have altered the landscape in recent weeks.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
Объем
$185,457Дата окончания
3 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent SKDS polling trends position Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) as the frontrunner for the October 3, 2026, Saeima election, reflecting sustained voter support above 17 percent amid a fragmented field. LPV and SV trail as the next strongest contenders, with Progressives also competitive near the 5 percent threshold needed for seats. The incumbent New Unity-led coalition has seen support erode in surveys, while regionalist and conservative alliances maintain steady backing. With roughly seven weeks until voting, trader consensus on AS as the likely plurality winner aligns with these consistent poll leads, though coalition negotiations after results could still shift final outcomes. No major late-breaking events have altered the landscape in recent weeks.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Объем
$185,457Дата окончания
3 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent SKDS polling trends position Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) as the frontrunner for the October 3, 2026, Saeima election, reflecting sustained voter support above 17 percent amid a fragmented field. LPV and SV trail as the next strongest contenders, with Progressives also competitive near the 5 percent threshold needed for seats. The incumbent New Unity-led coalition has seen support erode in surveys, while regionalist and conservative alliances maintain steady backing. With roughly seven weeks until voting, trader consensus on AS as the likely plurality winner aligns with these consistent poll leads, though coalition negotiations after results could still shift final outcomes. No major late-breaking events have altered the landscape in recent weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Will SV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?
30%
Выиграет ли Шведская социал-демократическая партия (S) наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в Швеции в 2026 году?
98%
Да
Выиграет ли «Единая Россия» (ЕР) наибольшее количество мест на следующих выборах в Государственную думу?
98%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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