The tight contest for second place in the October 5 Quebec election centers on the PLQ and CAQ, with traders assigning the former a modest edge due to its concentrated Montreal support that historically secures the official opposition role despite weaker francophone backing provincewide. Recent Synopsis polling shows the CAQ surging seven points to 27% and statistically tying the PQ at 28%, largely at the PLQ's expense as the latter fell to 20%, reflecting voter shifts among women and those over 55 amid early campaign dynamics and U.S. trade concerns. Regional fragmentation, including three-way races in Quebec City and CAQ-PQ competition elsewhere, sustains uncertainty, while further polls and platform developments could widen the gap before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПКК 45%
CAQ 39%
Квебекская партия (PQ) 12%
QS 4.1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
ПКК
45%
CAQ
39%
Квебекская партия (PQ)
12%
QS
4%
PCQ
1%
PVQ
<1%
ПКК 45%
CAQ 39%
Квебекская партия (PQ) 12%
QS 4.1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
ПКК
$1,418 Объем
45%
CAQ
$1,671 Объем
39%
Квебекская партия (PQ)
$755 Объем
12%
QS
$936 Объем
4%
PCQ
$538 Объем
1%
PVQ
$774 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The tight contest for second place in the October 5 Quebec election centers on the PLQ and CAQ, with traders assigning the former a modest edge due to its concentrated Montreal support that historically secures the official opposition role despite weaker francophone backing provincewide. Recent Synopsis polling shows the CAQ surging seven points to 27% and statistically tying the PQ at 28%, largely at the PLQ's expense as the latter fell to 20%, reflecting voter shifts among women and those over 55 amid early campaign dynamics and U.S. trade concerns. Regional fragmentation, including three-way races in Quebec City and CAQ-PQ competition elsewhere, sustains uncertainty, while further polls and platform developments could widen the gap before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Объем
$6,093Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The tight contest for second place in the October 5 Quebec election centers on the PLQ and CAQ, with traders assigning the former a modest edge due to its concentrated Montreal support that historically secures the official opposition role despite weaker francophone backing provincewide. Recent Synopsis polling shows the CAQ surging seven points to 27% and statistically tying the PQ at 28%, largely at the PLQ's expense as the latter fell to 20%, reflecting voter shifts among women and those over 55 amid early campaign dynamics and U.S. trade concerns. Regional fragmentation, including three-way races in Quebec City and CAQ-PQ competition elsewhere, sustains uncertainty, while further polls and platform developments could widen the gap before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Объем
$6,093Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The tight contest for second place in the October 5 Quebec election centers on the PLQ and CAQ, with traders assigning the former a modest edge due to its concentrated Montreal support that historically secures the official opposition role despite weaker francophone backing provincewide. Recent Synopsis polling shows the CAQ surging seven points to 27% and statistically tying the PQ at 28%, largely at the PLQ's expense as the latter fell to 20%, reflecting voter shifts among women and those over 55 amid early campaign dynamics and U.S. trade concerns. Regional fragmentation, including three-way races in Quebec City and CAQ-PQ competition elsewhere, sustains uncertainty, while further polls and platform developments could widen the gap before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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