Recent polling shows a tight contest between the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec for the top two spots ahead of the October 5 election, with the Quebec Liberal Party positioned as the most likely third-place finisher due to its concentrated support on Montreal Island and weaker results among francophones elsewhere. The CAQ’s recent gains, drawn partly from Liberal voters and undecideds in a Synopsis survey, have narrowed the gap at the top while pressuring PLQ standing provincewide. The Conservative Party of Quebec holds ground in the Quebec City region but trails overall, limiting its third-place prospects. Québec solidaire and smaller parties remain marginal. Regional fragmentation and campaign momentum shifts could alter third-place ordering before votes are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоPLQ 42%
CAQ 31%
ПКК 17%
Квебекская партия 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
PLQ
42%
CAQ
31%
ПКК
17%
Квебекская партия
9%
QS
4%
PVQ
1%
PLQ 42%
CAQ 31%
ПКК 17%
Квебекская партия 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
PLQ
$885 Объем
42%
CAQ
$631 Объем
31%
ПКК
$239 Объем
17%
Квебекская партия
$850 Объем
9%
QS
$686 Объем
4%
PVQ
$369 Объем
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows a tight contest between the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec for the top two spots ahead of the October 5 election, with the Quebec Liberal Party positioned as the most likely third-place finisher due to its concentrated support on Montreal Island and weaker results among francophones elsewhere. The CAQ’s recent gains, drawn partly from Liberal voters and undecideds in a Synopsis survey, have narrowed the gap at the top while pressuring PLQ standing provincewide. The Conservative Party of Quebec holds ground in the Quebec City region but trails overall, limiting its third-place prospects. Québec solidaire and smaller parties remain marginal. Regional fragmentation and campaign momentum shifts could alter third-place ordering before votes are cast.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Объем
$3,659Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows a tight contest between the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec for the top two spots ahead of the October 5 election, with the Quebec Liberal Party positioned as the most likely third-place finisher due to its concentrated support on Montreal Island and weaker results among francophones elsewhere. The CAQ’s recent gains, drawn partly from Liberal voters and undecideds in a Synopsis survey, have narrowed the gap at the top while pressuring PLQ standing provincewide. The Conservative Party of Quebec holds ground in the Quebec City region but trails overall, limiting its third-place prospects. Québec solidaire and smaller parties remain marginal. Regional fragmentation and campaign momentum shifts could alter third-place ordering before votes are cast.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Объем
$3,659Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows a tight contest between the Parti Québécois and Coalition Avenir Québec for the top two spots ahead of the October 5 election, with the Quebec Liberal Party positioned as the most likely third-place finisher due to its concentrated support on Montreal Island and weaker results among francophones elsewhere. The CAQ’s recent gains, drawn partly from Liberal voters and undecideds in a Synopsis survey, have narrowed the gap at the top while pressuring PLQ standing provincewide. The Conservative Party of Quebec holds ground in the Quebec City region but trails overall, limiting its third-place prospects. Québec solidaire and smaller parties remain marginal. Regional fragmentation and campaign momentum shifts could alter third-place ordering before votes are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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