Recent polling averages place the Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) at 13–16% provincially ahead of the October 5 election, with limited movement during the early campaign amid the dominant PQ-CAQ contest. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and Poliwave center PCQ outcomes between roughly 5 and 16 seats, concentrated in the Quebec City region where the party shows stronger regional support and efficiency in converting votes. Multi-party races across other ridings introduce variability in final totals. The close market distribution between 8–10 and 11–13 seats reflects this uncertainty in regional swings and turnout patterns. Further separation could occur from sustained PCQ momentum in its core ridings, shifts in francophone voter preferences, or late campaign developments affecting the broader vote split.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено11–13 25%
8-10 23%
<5 13%
5-7 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 окт. 2026 г.
<5
13%
5-7
11%
8-10
23%
11–13
25%
14-16
10%
17+
4%
11–13 25%
8-10 23%
<5 13%
5-7 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 окт. 2026 г.
<5
$1,230 Объем
13%
5-7
$361 Объем
11%
8-10
$829 Объем
23%
11–13
$947 Объем
25%
14-16
$744 Объем
10%
17+
$716 Объем
4%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages place the Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) at 13–16% provincially ahead of the October 5 election, with limited movement during the early campaign amid the dominant PQ-CAQ contest. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and Poliwave center PCQ outcomes between roughly 5 and 16 seats, concentrated in the Quebec City region where the party shows stronger regional support and efficiency in converting votes. Multi-party races across other ridings introduce variability in final totals. The close market distribution between 8–10 and 11–13 seats reflects this uncertainty in regional swings and turnout patterns. Further separation could occur from sustained PCQ momentum in its core ridings, shifts in francophone voter preferences, or late campaign developments affecting the broader vote split.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
Объем
$4,826Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages place the Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) at 13–16% provincially ahead of the October 5 election, with limited movement during the early campaign amid the dominant PQ-CAQ contest. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and Poliwave center PCQ outcomes between roughly 5 and 16 seats, concentrated in the Quebec City region where the party shows stronger regional support and efficiency in converting votes. Multi-party races across other ridings introduce variability in final totals. The close market distribution between 8–10 and 11–13 seats reflects this uncertainty in regional swings and turnout patterns. Further separation could occur from sustained PCQ momentum in its core ridings, shifts in francophone voter preferences, or late campaign developments affecting the broader vote split.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Объем
$4,826Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) at 13–16% provincially ahead of the October 5 election, with limited movement during the early campaign amid the dominant PQ-CAQ contest. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and Poliwave center PCQ outcomes between roughly 5 and 16 seats, concentrated in the Quebec City region where the party shows stronger regional support and efficiency in converting votes. Multi-party races across other ridings introduce variability in final totals. The close market distribution between 8–10 and 11–13 seats reflects this uncertainty in regional swings and turnout patterns. Further separation could occur from sustained PCQ momentum in its core ridings, shifts in francophone voter preferences, or late campaign developments affecting the broader vote split.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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