The Chicoutimi—Le Fjord federal by-election on August 31, 2026, features a competitive three-way contest among Conservative Régis Gaudreault, Bloc Québécois Caroline Dubé, and Liberal Daniel Gobeil following the Senate appointment of former Conservative MP Richard Martel. Recent candidate announcements within the past week, including Gobeil’s agricultural background and Dubé’s constituency experience, have sustained balanced positioning across parties in this Saguenay-region riding. Trader consensus around even odds for the leading options reflects the short campaign timeline, Quebec’s fragmented voter preferences, and absence of decisive polling shifts or major endorsements. Further candidate confirmations from other parties or early campaign events could alter the dynamics before advance voting begins.