The tight race for third place in Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections reflects the competitive positioning of established parties within the current governing coalition and opposition. RNI, PAM, and Istiqlal (PI) hold the strongest historical bases and organizational reach after their 2021 results, with recent campaign activity centered on job creation pledges, purchasing power, and regional lists that could redistribute seats among them. Low expected turnout and a fragmented field of smaller lists further compress differences in projected seat totals, sustaining near-even trader assessments across multiple contenders. Developments such as final voter mobilization in key districts or shifts in coalition signaling before election day could separate the outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоPI 51%
RNI 25%
PJD 12.8%
PAM 5.9%
$41,293 Объем
$41,293 Объем

PI
51%

RNI
25%

PJD
9%

PAM
6%

USFP
11%

UC
<1%

MP
<1%

PPS
<1%
PI 51%
RNI 25%
PJD 12.8%
PAM 5.9%
$41,293 Объем
$41,293 Объем

PI
51%

RNI
25%

PJD
9%

PAM
6%

USFP
11%

UC
<1%

MP
<1%

PPS
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Открытие рынка: Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The tight race for third place in Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections reflects the competitive positioning of established parties within the current governing coalition and opposition. RNI, PAM, and Istiqlal (PI) hold the strongest historical bases and organizational reach after their 2021 results, with recent campaign activity centered on job creation pledges, purchasing power, and regional lists that could redistribute seats among them. Low expected turnout and a fragmented field of smaller lists further compress differences in projected seat totals, sustaining near-even trader assessments across multiple contenders. Developments such as final voter mobilization in key districts or shifts in coalition signaling before election day could separate the outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы