KPRF holds an implied 78.6% probability of finishing second on the Moscow party-list vote because consistent polling and historical patterns in the capital show it drawing the largest share of protest and traditional opposition support behind United Russia. Pre-election surveys from state pollsters placed KPRF ahead of New People, LDPR, and other systemic parties in urban centers, reflecting its established regional structures and appeal among older and industrial voters. New People, priced at 12.4%, gained ground nationally through electronic voting channels but has not displaced KPRF in Moscow-specific forecasts. LDPR, United Russia (as second), and smaller lists remain at single-digit or negligible levels due to weaker local organization and voter bases. The market reflects trader assessment of these structural and polling dynamics ahead of final Moscow tabulation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКоммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) 78.6%
Новые люди (NL) 13.4%
Единая Россия (ЕР) 1.2%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) <1%
$32,462 Объем
$32,462 Объем

Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
79%

Новые люди (NL)
13%

Единая Россия (ЕР)
1%

Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
1%

Справедливая Россия (СР)
<1%

Яблоко
<1%

Родина
<1%

Гражданская платформа (ГП)
<1%

Российская партия пенсионеров за социальную справедливость
<1%

Российская экологическая партия «Зелёные»
<1%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) 78.6%
Новые люди (NL) 13.4%
Единая Россия (ЕР) 1.2%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) <1%
$32,462 Объем
$32,462 Объем

Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
79%

Новые люди (NL)
13%

Единая Россия (ЕР)
1%

Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
1%

Справедливая Россия (СР)
<1%

Яблоко
<1%

Родина
<1%

Гражданская платформа (ГП)
<1%

Российская партия пенсионеров за социальную справедливость
<1%

Российская экологическая партия «Зелёные»
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that receives the second greatest number of votes on the federal party-list ballot in the federal city of Moscow in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received on the federal party-list ballot within the federal city of Moscow. If two or more parties are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, votes officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 1:36 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that receives the second greatest number of votes on the federal party-list ballot in the federal city of Moscow in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received on the federal party-list ballot within the federal city of Moscow. If two or more parties are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, votes officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...KPRF holds an implied 78.6% probability of finishing second on the Moscow party-list vote because consistent polling and historical patterns in the capital show it drawing the largest share of protest and traditional opposition support behind United Russia. Pre-election surveys from state pollsters placed KPRF ahead of New People, LDPR, and other systemic parties in urban centers, reflecting its established regional structures and appeal among older and industrial voters. New People, priced at 12.4%, gained ground nationally through electronic voting channels but has not displaced KPRF in Moscow-specific forecasts. LDPR, United Russia (as second), and smaller lists remain at single-digit or negligible levels due to weaker local organization and voter bases. The market reflects trader assessment of these structural and polling dynamics ahead of final Moscow tabulation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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