United Russia secured a commanding lead in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, with preliminary Central Election Commission counts showing approximately 57% of the party-list vote after substantial protocols were processed. This outcome reflects the party's entrenched position in a tightly controlled system, limited genuine opposition on the ballot, and higher turnout than in 2021 amid the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. All other qualifying parties trailed far behind, and United Russia also dominated most single-mandate districts. Trader consensus heavily favors the 55-60% bracket because official tallies align directly with it, though final certified results could still shift modestly due to remaining counts, electronic voting adjustments, or procedural reviews. Scenarios that might alter the range include significant discrepancies between exit polls and official figures or challenges to specific regional results.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено55-60% 95%
60%+ 4.1%
50-55% 1.9%
45-50% <1%
$36,577 Объем
$36,577 Объем
31 окт. 2026 г.
Меньше 40%
<1%
40-45%
<1%
45-50%
1%
50-55%
2%
55-60%
95%
60%+
4%
55-60% 95%
60%+ 4.1%
50-55% 1.9%
45-50% <1%
$36,577 Объем
$36,577 Объем
31 окт. 2026 г.
Меньше 40%
$146 Объем
<1%
40-45%
$578 Объем
<1%
45-50%
$5,594 Объем
1%
50-55%
$8,314 Объем
2%
55-60%
$6,888 Объем
95%
60%+
$15,057 Объем
4%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia secured a commanding lead in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, with preliminary Central Election Commission counts showing approximately 57% of the party-list vote after substantial protocols were processed. This outcome reflects the party's entrenched position in a tightly controlled system, limited genuine opposition on the ballot, and higher turnout than in 2021 amid the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. All other qualifying parties trailed far behind, and United Russia also dominated most single-mandate districts. Trader consensus heavily favors the 55-60% bracket because official tallies align directly with it, though final certified results could still shift modestly due to remaining counts, electronic voting adjustments, or procedural reviews. Scenarios that might alter the range include significant discrepancies between exit polls and official figures or challenges to specific regional results.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Объем
$36,577Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia secured a commanding lead in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, with preliminary Central Election Commission counts showing approximately 57% of the party-list vote after substantial protocols were processed. This outcome reflects the party's entrenched position in a tightly controlled system, limited genuine opposition on the ballot, and higher turnout than in 2021 amid the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. All other qualifying parties trailed far behind, and United Russia also dominated most single-mandate districts. Trader consensus heavily favors the 55-60% bracket because official tallies align directly with it, though final certified results could still shift modestly due to remaining counts, electronic voting adjustments, or procedural reviews. Scenarios that might alter the range include significant discrepancies between exit polls and official figures or challenges to specific regional results.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Объем
$36,577Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...United Russia secured a commanding lead in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, with preliminary Central Election Commission counts showing approximately 57% of the party-list vote after substantial protocols were processed. This outcome reflects the party's entrenched position in a tightly controlled system, limited genuine opposition on the ballot, and higher turnout than in 2021 amid the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. All other qualifying parties trailed far behind, and United Russia also dominated most single-mandate districts. Trader consensus heavily favors the 55-60% bracket because official tallies align directly with it, though final certified results could still shift modestly due to remaining counts, electronic voting adjustments, or procedural reviews. Scenarios that might alter the range include significant discrepancies between exit polls and official figures or challenges to specific regional results.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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