Russia's September 18–20 State Duma elections feature multi-day voting and expanded remote electronic options that have historically supported participation near the 52% level recorded in 2021. Trader consensus clusters tightly between the 50–53% and 53–56% buckets because the Kremlin has twice lowered its internal turnout targets amid fuel shortages, Ukrainian strikes on Russian cities, and sliding approval ratings, while state media has minimized campaign coverage. Administrative mobilization through public-sector employers and regional mechanisms continues, yet independent polls show steady rather than surging engagement under United Russia's dominance and reduced party competition. These offsetting pressures—facilitation tools versus wartime fatigue and lowered expectations—keep probabilities balanced, with separation likely only from shifts in electronic voting scale or late mobilization intensity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
50-53% 31%
53-56% 29.8%
47-50% 11%
59-62% 10.5%
$54,312 Объем
$54,312 Объем
19 сент. 2026 г.
<47%
2%
47-50%
11%
50-53%
31%
53-56%
30%
56-59%
10%
59-62%
11%
62%+
10%
50-53% 31%
53-56% 29.8%
47-50% 11%
59-62% 10.5%
$54,312 Объем
$54,312 Объем
19 сент. 2026 г.
<47%
$2,385 Объем
2%
47-50%
$6,452 Объем
11%
50-53%
$5,437 Объем
31%
53-56%
$3,387 Объем
30%
56-59%
$6,521 Объем
10%
59-62%
$5,458 Объем
11%
62%+
$24,674 Объем
10%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's September 18–20 State Duma elections feature multi-day voting and expanded remote electronic options that have historically supported participation near the 52% level recorded in 2021. Trader consensus clusters tightly between the 50–53% and 53–56% buckets because the Kremlin has twice lowered its internal turnout targets amid fuel shortages, Ukrainian strikes on Russian cities, and sliding approval ratings, while state media has minimized campaign coverage. Administrative mobilization through public-sector employers and regional mechanisms continues, yet independent polls show steady rather than surging engagement under United Russia's dominance and reduced party competition. These offsetting pressures—facilitation tools versus wartime fatigue and lowered expectations—keep probabilities balanced, with separation likely only from shifts in electronic voting scale or late mobilization intensity.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Открытие рынка: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Объем
$54,312Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's September 18–20 State Duma elections feature multi-day voting and expanded remote electronic options that have historically supported participation near the 52% level recorded in 2021. Trader consensus clusters tightly between the 50–53% and 53–56% buckets because the Kremlin has twice lowered its internal turnout targets amid fuel shortages, Ukrainian strikes on Russian cities, and sliding approval ratings, while state media has minimized campaign coverage. Administrative mobilization through public-sector employers and regional mechanisms continues, yet independent polls show steady rather than surging engagement under United Russia's dominance and reduced party competition. These offsetting pressures—facilitation tools versus wartime fatigue and lowered expectations—keep probabilities balanced, with separation likely only from shifts in electronic voting scale or late mobilization intensity.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Объем
$54,312Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Russia's September 18–20 State Duma elections feature multi-day voting and expanded remote electronic options that have historically supported participation near the 52% level recorded in 2021. Trader consensus clusters tightly between the 50–53% and 53–56% buckets because the Kremlin has twice lowered its internal turnout targets amid fuel shortages, Ukrainian strikes on Russian cities, and sliding approval ratings, while state media has minimized campaign coverage. Administrative mobilization through public-sector employers and regional mechanisms continues, yet independent polls show steady rather than surging engagement under United Russia's dominance and reduced party competition. These offsetting pressures—facilitation tools versus wartime fatigue and lowered expectations—keep probabilities balanced, with separation likely only from shifts in electronic voting scale or late mobilization intensity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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