The June 28 provincial elections, which will determine the makeup of New Caledonia’s Congress and its next government president, remain highly fragmented with no bloc holding a clear path to a majority. Recent voter-roll adjustments, the rejection of the Bougival Accord by key independence groups, and lingering effects of the 2024 unrest have kept loyalist and pro-independence lists competitive across provinces. Incumbent Alcide Ponga’s current administration provides continuity for some traders, while multiple lists headed by figures such as Sonia Backès, Virginie Ruffenach, Louis Mapou, and Pierre-Chanel Tutugoro reflect ongoing coalition negotiations and the collegial selection process for the government president. With polls just days away and post-election talks scheduled for July, the balanced pricing captures uncertainty over final seat distributions and potential cross-bloc deals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующий президент Новой Каледонии
Соня Бакэс 45%
Альсид Понга 44%
Кристофер Жигес 44%
Поль Неаутин 44%

Соня Бакэс
45%

Альсид Понга
44%

Кристофер Жигес
44%

Поль Неаутин
44%

Николя Мецдорф
44%

Гилберт Тюйенон
44%

Жоанито Вамитан
44%

Луи Мапу
44%
Милакуло Тукумули
44%

Виржини Руффенак
44%

Пьер Шанель Тутугоро
5%
Жан-Пьер Джаиве
5%

Паскаль Сава
5%

Жиль Бриаль
4%
Соня Бакэс 45%
Альсид Понга 44%
Кристофер Жигес 44%
Поль Неаутин 44%

Соня Бакэс
45%

Альсид Понга
44%

Кристофер Жигес
44%

Поль Неаутин
44%

Николя Мецдорф
44%

Гилберт Тюйенон
44%

Жоанито Вамитан
44%

Луи Мапу
44%
Милакуло Тукумули
44%

Виржини Руффенак
44%

Пьер Шанель Тутугоро
5%
Жан-Пьер Джаиве
5%

Паскаль Сава
5%

Жиль Бриаль
4%
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of the Government of New Caledonia by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as President of the Government of New Caledonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Caledonia (https://gouv.nc/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 23, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of the Government of New Caledonia by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as President of the Government of New Caledonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Caledonia (https://gouv.nc/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The June 28 provincial elections, which will determine the makeup of New Caledonia’s Congress and its next government president, remain highly fragmented with no bloc holding a clear path to a majority. Recent voter-roll adjustments, the rejection of the Bougival Accord by key independence groups, and lingering effects of the 2024 unrest have kept loyalist and pro-independence lists competitive across provinces. Incumbent Alcide Ponga’s current administration provides continuity for some traders, while multiple lists headed by figures such as Sonia Backès, Virginie Ruffenach, Louis Mapou, and Pierre-Chanel Tutugoro reflect ongoing coalition negotiations and the collegial selection process for the government president. With polls just days away and post-election talks scheduled for July, the balanced pricing captures uncertainty over final seat distributions and potential cross-bloc deals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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