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icon for Кто будет в кабинете Бернхэма?

Кто будет в кабинете Бернхэма?

icon for Кто будет в кабинете Бернхэма?

Кто будет в кабинете Бернхэма?

НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$0.00 Объем

Polymarket
icon for Джон Хили

Джон Хили

$0 Объем

57%

icon for Эд Милибэнд

Эд Милибэнд

$0 Объем

57%

icon for Лиза Нэнди

Лиза Нэнди

$0 Объем

56%

icon for Иветт Купер

Иветт Купер

$0 Объем

55%

icon for Киир Стармер

Киир Стармер

$0 Объем

51%

icon for Пэт Макфадден

Пэт Макфадден

$0 Объем

51%

icon for Бриджет Филлипсон

Бриджет Филлипсон

$0 Объем

51%

icon for Джо Стивенс

Джо Стивенс

$0 Объем

51%

icon for Джесс Филлипс

Джесс Филлипс

$0 Объем

51%

icon for Уэс Стритинг

Уэс Стритинг

$0 Объем

51%

icon for Дэвид Лэмми

Дэвид Лэмми

$0 Объем

51%

icon for Стив Рид

Стив Рид

$0 Объем

50%

icon for Даррен Джонс

Даррен Джонс

$0 Объем

50%

icon for Лиз Кендалл

Лиз Кендалл

$0 Объем

50%

icon for Иэн Мюррей

Иэн Мюррей

$0 Объем

50%

icon for Рэйчел Ривз

Рэйчел Ривз

$0 Объем

50%

icon for Шабана Махмуд

Шабана Махмуд

$0 Объем

50%

icon for Хайди Александр

Хайди Александр

$0 Объем

50%

icon for Питер Кайл

Питер Кайл

$0 Объем

50%

icon for Алан Кэмпбелл

Алан Кэмпбелл

$0 Объем

50%

icon for Дэн Джарвис

Дэн Джарвис

$0 Объем

50%

icon for Джонатан Рейнольдс

Джонатан Рейнольдс

$0 Объем

50%

icon for Кэтрин Уэст

Кэтрин Уэст

$0 Объем

50%

icon for Патрик Валланс

Патрик Валланс

$0 Объем

49%

icon for Джеки Смит

Джеки Смит

$0 Объем

49%

icon for Джеймс Мюррей

Джеймс Мюррей

$0 Объем

49%

icon for Анджела Рейнер

Анджела Рейнер

$0 Объем

48%

icon for Хилари Бенн

Хилари Бенн

$0 Объем

48%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify. Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market. To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution. If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andy Burnham is widely expected to become UK prime minister within weeks following Keir Starmer’s resignation as Labour leader on June 22, 2026, after Burnham’s decisive Makerfield by-election victory. Trader focus centers on his likely cabinet reshuffle, with early signals pointing to retention or promotion of figures such as Ed Miliband, Shabana Mahmood, and Wes Streeting, alongside possible demotions for Starmer-aligned ministers like Rachel Reeves. Key variables include Burnham’s need to balance soft-left allies with broader party unity, Senate-style confirmation dynamics in Labour’s internal processes, and any rapid policy shifts on fiscal rules or public ownership that could alter appointments before a July formation window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify.

Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market.

To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution.

If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 23, 2026, 9:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify. Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market. To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution. If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify. Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market. To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution. If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andy Burnham is widely expected to become UK prime minister within weeks following Keir Starmer’s resignation as Labour leader on June 22, 2026, after Burnham’s decisive Makerfield by-election victory. Trader focus centers on his likely cabinet reshuffle, with early signals pointing to retention or promotion of figures such as Ed Miliband, Shabana Mahmood, and Wes Streeting, alongside possible demotions for Starmer-aligned ministers like Rachel Reeves. Key variables include Burnham’s need to balance soft-left allies with broader party unity, Senate-style confirmation dynamics in Labour’s internal processes, and any rapid policy shifts on fiscal rules or public ownership that could alter appointments before a July formation window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify.

Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market.

To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution.

If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 23, 2026, 9:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify. Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market. To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution. If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Кто будет в кабинете Бернхэма?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 28 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Джон Хили» с 57%, за ним следует «Эд Милибэнд» с 57%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 57¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 57%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Кто будет в кабинете Бернхэма?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jun 23, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Кто будет в кабинете Бернхэма?», просмотри 28 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Кто будет в кабинете Бернхэма?» — «Джон Хили» с 57%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 57%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Эд Милибэнд» с 57%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Кто будет в кабинете Бернхэма?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.