Recent polling from multiple firms shows the Texas U.S. Senate race between Democratic state Representative James Talarico and Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton locked in a statistical tie among likely voters, with Talarico holding narrow edges in some surveys. Paxton's primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, aided by a late endorsement, positioned him as the GOP nominee but left him facing questions about general-election appeal in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1988. Talarico's substantial fundraising lead and stronger performance among independents and younger voters have offset the state's Republican lean, while Paxton maintains solid but not overwhelming support within his party. Key factors that could widen the margin before November 3 include shifts in turnout among key demographics, additional independent spending, and voter reactions to economic and immigration messaging.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Техаса
Победитель выборов в Сенат Техаса
$780,778 Объем
$780,778 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Джеймс Таларико (Д)
52%
Кен Пакстон (Р)
50%
$780,778 Объем
$780,778 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Джеймс Таларико (Д)
$370,301 Объем
52%
Кен Пакстон (Р)
$410,477 Объем
50%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling from multiple firms shows the Texas U.S. Senate race between Democratic state Representative James Talarico and Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton locked in a statistical tie among likely voters, with Talarico holding narrow edges in some surveys. Paxton's primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, aided by a late endorsement, positioned him as the GOP nominee but left him facing questions about general-election appeal in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1988. Talarico's substantial fundraising lead and stronger performance among independents and younger voters have offset the state's Republican lean, while Paxton maintains solid but not overwhelming support within his party. Key factors that could widen the margin before November 3 include shifts in turnout among key demographics, additional independent spending, and voter reactions to economic and immigration messaging.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Объем
$780,778Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling from multiple firms shows the Texas U.S. Senate race between Democratic state Representative James Talarico and Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton locked in a statistical tie among likely voters, with Talarico holding narrow edges in some surveys. Paxton's primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, aided by a late endorsement, positioned him as the GOP nominee but left him facing questions about general-election appeal in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1988. Talarico's substantial fundraising lead and stronger performance among independents and younger voters have offset the state's Republican lean, while Paxton maintains solid but not overwhelming support within his party. Key factors that could widen the margin before November 3 include shifts in turnout among key demographics, additional independent spending, and voter reactions to economic and immigration messaging.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$780,778Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from multiple firms shows the Texas U.S. Senate race between Democratic state Representative James Talarico and Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton locked in a statistical tie among likely voters, with Talarico holding narrow edges in some surveys. Paxton's primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, aided by a late endorsement, positioned him as the GOP nominee but left him facing questions about general-election appeal in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1988. Talarico's substantial fundraising lead and stronger performance among independents and younger voters have offset the state's Republican lean, while Paxton maintains solid but not overwhelming support within his party. Key factors that could widen the margin before November 3 include shifts in turnout among key demographics, additional independent spending, and voter reactions to economic and immigration messaging.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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