Former Governor Roy Cooper holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 2026 Senate race due to his strong name recognition, proven statewide appeal across multiple elections, and consistent polling leads of eight to eleven points over Republican nominee Michael Whatley. Recent surveys, including the latest Carolina Journal poll showing Cooper at 49.8 percent to Whatley’s 38.7 percent, reflect this advantage in an open-seat contest following incumbent Thom Tillis’s retirement. Whatley, the former RNC chair endorsed by President Trump, faces challenges from lower voter familiarity and weaker favorability ratings. These dynamics align with the current trader consensus assigning an 84.5 percent implied probability to a Democratic victory, driven by Cooper’s established support among independents and key voting blocs in this battleground state.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Северной Каролины
$58,331 Объем
$58,331 Объем

Демократ
85%

Республиканец
16%
$58,331 Объем
$58,331 Объем

Демократ
85%

Республиканец
16%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Governor Roy Cooper holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 2026 Senate race due to his strong name recognition, proven statewide appeal across multiple elections, and consistent polling leads of eight to eleven points over Republican nominee Michael Whatley. Recent surveys, including the latest Carolina Journal poll showing Cooper at 49.8 percent to Whatley’s 38.7 percent, reflect this advantage in an open-seat contest following incumbent Thom Tillis’s retirement. Whatley, the former RNC chair endorsed by President Trump, faces challenges from lower voter familiarity and weaker favorability ratings. These dynamics align with the current trader consensus assigning an 84.5 percent implied probability to a Democratic victory, driven by Cooper’s established support among independents and key voting blocs in this battleground state.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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