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icon for Будут ли демократы побеждать во всех «основных четырех» сенатских гонках?
Политика·демократическая партия

Будут ли демократы побеждать во всех «основных четырех» сенатских гонках?

icon for Будут ли демократы побеждать во всех «основных четырех» сенатских гонках?
Политика·демократическая партия

Будут ли демократы побеждать во всех «основных четырех» сенатских гонках?

Да

56% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

56% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs). A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Recent polling and nonpartisan ratings updates have strengthened Democratic positioning across Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine, supporting the 57.5 percent implied probability that the party sweeps all four contests. In North Carolina, former Governor Roy Cooper holds a lead in the open-seat race, while Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff’s rating improved to Leans Democratic. Fresh surveys in Michigan and Maine also show modest Democratic advantages ahead of primaries. These shifts reflect midterm dynamics where the party out of the White House often benefits from structural headwinds, though the races remain competitive and subject to further movement based on candidate performance and voter turnout.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).

A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Объем
$4,024
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs). A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs). A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Recent polling and nonpartisan ratings updates have strengthened Democratic positioning across Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine, supporting the 57.5 percent implied probability that the party sweeps all four contests. In North Carolina, former Governor Roy Cooper holds a lead in the open-seat race, while Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff’s rating improved to Leans Democratic. Fresh surveys in Michigan and Maine also show modest Democratic advantages ahead of primaries. These shifts reflect midterm dynamics where the party out of the White House often benefits from structural headwinds, though the races remain competitive and subject to further movement based on candidate performance and voter turnout.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).

A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Объем
$4,024
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs). A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

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