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Мир·Бразилия

Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 3-е место

icon for Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 3-е место
Мир·Бразилия

Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 3-е место

Ренан Сантос 58%

Роналду Кайаду 34%

Ромеу Зема 5.0%

Флавио Болсонару 2.9%

Polymarket

$537,899 Объем

Ренан Сантос 58%

Роналду Кайаду 34%

Ромеу Зема 5.0%

Флавио Болсонару 2.9%

Polymarket

$537,899 Объем

icon for Ренан Сантос

Ренан Сантос

$180,121 Объем

58%

icon for Роналду Кайаду

Роналду Кайаду

$50,689 Объем

34%

icon for Ромеу Зема

Ромеу Зема

$22,225 Объем

5%

icon for Флавио Болсонару

Флавио Болсонару

$24,647 Объем

3%

icon for Луис Инасиу Лула да Силва

Луис Инасиу Лула да Силва

$11,273 Объем

1%

icon for Эдуардо Болсонару

Эдуардо Болсонару

$45,448 Объем

<1%

icon for Ратиньо Жуниор

Ратиньо Жуниор

$103,522 Объем

<1%

icon for Камилу Сантана

Камилу Сантана

$13,082 Объем

<1%

icon for Жералду Алкмин

Жералду Алкмин

$10,106 Объем

<1%

icon for Фернандо Хаддад

Фернандо Хаддад

$20,666 Объем

<1%

icon for Таркизиу де Фрейтас

Таркизиу де Фрейтас

$8,747 Объем

<1%

icon for Жаир Болсонару

Жаир Болсонару

$7,754 Объем

<1%

icon for Алду Ребелу

Алду Ребелу

$9,865 Объем

<1%

icon for Тереза Кристина

Тереза Кристина

$4,083 Объем

<1%

icon for Мишель Болсонару

Мишель Болсонару

$12,815 Объем

<1%

icon for Эдуарду Лейте

Эдуарду Лейте

$9,374 Объем

<1%

icon for Элдер Барбалью

Элдер Барбалью

$3,481 Объем

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling ahead of the October 4 first round shows Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro occupying the top two spots, leaving a fragmented field for third place. Trader consensus favors Renan Santos at 58 percent, reflecting his growth among younger voters through social media reach and anti-establishment positioning as Mission Party candidate, which has placed him near or ahead of other right-wing contenders in national surveys. Ronaldo Caiado follows at 33.5 percent, drawing on his record as Goiás governor and center-right PSD base. Romeu Zema and remaining candidates trail further behind. Narrowing gaps between the leaders and ongoing right-wing vote splitting sustain this positioning, with no major late shifts reported in the past week.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Объем
$537,899
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling ahead of the October 4 first round shows Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro occupying the top two spots, leaving a fragmented field for third place. Trader consensus favors Renan Santos at 58 percent, reflecting his growth among younger voters through social media reach and anti-establishment positioning as Mission Party candidate, which has placed him near or ahead of other right-wing contenders in national surveys. Ronaldo Caiado follows at 33.5 percent, drawing on his record as Goiás governor and center-right PSD base. Romeu Zema and remaining candidates trail further behind. Narrowing gaps between the leaders and ongoing right-wing vote splitting sustain this positioning, with no major late shifts reported in the past week.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Объем
$537,899
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva президентские выборы в Бразилии 2026 года?

Выиграет ли Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva президентские выборы в Бразилии 2026 года?

64%
Да
icon for Победит ли какой-либо кандидат в президенты сразу в первом туре выборов в Бразилии?

Победит ли какой-либо кандидат в президенты сразу в первом туре выборов в Бразилии?

13%
Да
icon for Квалифицируется ли Луис Инасиу Лула да Силва во второй тур президентских выборов в Бразилии?

Квалифицируется ли Луис Инасиу Лула да Силва во второй тур президентских выборов в Бразилии?

96%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 3-е место» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 17 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Ренан Сантос» с 58%, за ним следует «Роналду Кайаду» с 34%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 58¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 58%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 3-е место» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $537.9K с момента запуска рынка Feb 11, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 3-е место», просмотри 17 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 3-е место» — «Ренан Сантос» с 58%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 58%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Роналду Кайаду» с 34%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 3-е место» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.