Chip Neiman, the current Wyoming House speaker challenging longtime incumbent Ogden Driskill in the August 18 Republican primary for Senate District 1, leads as the trader consensus favorite at 72 percent implied probability. The matchup highlights divisions within the state GOP between Neiman’s Freedom Caucus-aligned faction and Driskill’s more establishment record, including differences over legislative priorities and party platform adherence. A candidate debate earlier this month and recent coverage of the contest underscore the race’s visibility, while Driskill’s 24 percent reflects his incumbency advantage in the northeastern district covering Crook, Campbell, and Weston counties. No other candidates register meaningful support, leaving the outcome dependent on primary turnout among Republican voters.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 авг. 2026 г.
Чип Нейман
72%
Огден Дрискилл
24%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 авг. 2026 г.
Чип Нейман
$2,972 Объем
72%
Огден Дрискилл
$681 Объем
24%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the Wyoming District 1 seat in the Wyoming State Senate in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Chip Neiman, the current Wyoming House speaker challenging longtime incumbent Ogden Driskill in the August 18 Republican primary for Senate District 1, leads as the trader consensus favorite at 72 percent implied probability. The matchup highlights divisions within the state GOP between Neiman’s Freedom Caucus-aligned faction and Driskill’s more establishment record, including differences over legislative priorities and party platform adherence. A candidate debate earlier this month and recent coverage of the contest underscore the race’s visibility, while Driskill’s 24 percent reflects his incumbency advantage in the northeastern district covering Crook, Campbell, and Weston counties. No other candidates register meaningful support, leaving the outcome dependent on primary turnout among Republican voters.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the Wyoming District 1 seat in the Wyoming State Senate in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 2:34 PM ET
Объем
$3,653Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 2:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the Wyoming District 1 seat in the Wyoming State Senate in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Chip Neiman, the current Wyoming House speaker challenging longtime incumbent Ogden Driskill in the August 18 Republican primary for Senate District 1, leads as the trader consensus favorite at 72 percent implied probability. The matchup highlights divisions within the state GOP between Neiman’s Freedom Caucus-aligned faction and Driskill’s more establishment record, including differences over legislative priorities and party platform adherence. A candidate debate earlier this month and recent coverage of the contest underscore the race’s visibility, while Driskill’s 24 percent reflects his incumbency advantage in the northeastern district covering Crook, Campbell, and Weston counties. No other candidates register meaningful support, leaving the outcome dependent on primary turnout among Republican voters.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the Wyoming District 1 seat in the Wyoming State Senate in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$3,653Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 2:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chip Neiman, the current Wyoming House speaker challenging longtime incumbent Ogden Driskill in the August 18 Republican primary for Senate District 1, leads as the trader consensus favorite at 72 percent implied probability. The matchup highlights divisions within the state GOP between Neiman’s Freedom Caucus-aligned faction and Driskill’s more establishment record, including differences over legislative priorities and party platform adherence. A candidate debate earlier this month and recent coverage of the contest underscore the race’s visibility, while Driskill’s 24 percent reflects his incumbency advantage in the northeastern district covering Crook, Campbell, and Weston counties. No other candidates register meaningful support, leaving the outcome dependent on primary turnout among Republican voters.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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