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NH-01 Republican Primary Winner

icon for NH-01 Republican Primary Winner

NH-01 Republican Primary Winner

Anthony DiLorenzo 72%

Hollie Noveletsky 18%

Melissa Bailey 4.2%

Elizabeth Girard 2.9%

Polymarket

$40,633 Объем

Anthony DiLorenzo 72%

Hollie Noveletsky 18%

Melissa Bailey 4.2%

Elizabeth Girard 2.9%

Polymarket

$40,633 Объем

Anthony DiLorenzo

$1,910 Объем

72%

Hollie Noveletsky

$22,988 Объем

18%

Melissa Bailey

$1,058 Объем

4%

Elizabeth Girard

$13,609 Объем

3%

Brian Cole

$1,069 Объем

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Anthony DiLorenzo leads the NH-01 Republican primary market at 72% due to his substantial early fundraising edge, business profile as owner of a large auto dealership group, and positioning as an outsider focused on energy costs, federal spending restraint, and private-sector efficiency in government.** The open seat, created by Rep. Chris Pappas’s Senate bid, has drawn a crowded field, but DiLorenzo’s reported receipts exceeding $1.29 million as of March 2026 far outpace others and support expectations of self-funding capacity ahead of the September 8, 2026 primary. **Hollie Noveletsky holds second place at 16%, reflecting her prior 2024 candidacy for the seat, role as former New Hampshire Republican Party vice chair, manufacturing business ownership, and military veteran background.** She has drawn contrasts on issues such as immigration enforcement. Melissa Bailey (5.1%), state Rep. Brian Cole (3.6%), and Elizabeth Girard (3.5%) trail, consistent with their lower reported fundraising and narrower name recognition at this stage. **Recent developments center on the June 2026 filing period, when multiple candidates—including DiLorenzo, Bailey, and Cole—submitted paperwork, alongside emerging campaign contrasts and limited early media coverage.** No public polls have surfaced to shift sentiment, leaving trader consensus anchored in resource disparities and establishment versus outsider dynamics typical of an open-district primary. The race remains fluid, with outcomes sensitive to further endorsements, spending patterns, and turnout among Republican primary voters.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$40,633
Дата окончания
8 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Anthony DiLorenzo leads the NH-01 Republican primary market at 72% due to his substantial early fundraising edge, business profile as owner of a large auto dealership group, and positioning as an outsider focused on energy costs, federal spending restraint, and private-sector efficiency in government.** The open seat, created by Rep. Chris Pappas’s Senate bid, has drawn a crowded field, but DiLorenzo’s reported receipts exceeding $1.29 million as of March 2026 far outpace others and support expectations of self-funding capacity ahead of the September 8, 2026 primary. **Hollie Noveletsky holds second place at 16%, reflecting her prior 2024 candidacy for the seat, role as former New Hampshire Republican Party vice chair, manufacturing business ownership, and military veteran background.** She has drawn contrasts on issues such as immigration enforcement. Melissa Bailey (5.1%), state Rep. Brian Cole (3.6%), and Elizabeth Girard (3.5%) trail, consistent with their lower reported fundraising and narrower name recognition at this stage. **Recent developments center on the June 2026 filing period, when multiple candidates—including DiLorenzo, Bailey, and Cole—submitted paperwork, alongside emerging campaign contrasts and limited early media coverage.** No public polls have surfaced to shift sentiment, leaving trader consensus anchored in resource disparities and establishment versus outsider dynamics typical of an open-district primary. The race remains fluid, with outcomes sensitive to further endorsements, spending patterns, and turnout among Republican primary voters.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$40,633
Дата окончания
8 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«NH-01 Republican Primary Winner» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Anthony DiLorenzo» с 72%, за ним следует «Hollie Noveletsky» с 18%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 72¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 72%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «NH-01 Republican Primary Winner» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $40.6K с момента запуска рынка Feb 23, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «NH-01 Republican Primary Winner», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «NH-01 Republican Primary Winner» — «Anthony DiLorenzo» с 72%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 72%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Hollie Noveletsky» с 18%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «NH-01 Republican Primary Winner» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.