A crowded eight-candidate Republican primary for Florida’s 14th congressional district, set for August 18, 2026, has produced fragmented support with no dominant frontrunner. Recent entries by state Rep. Kevin Steele and former state Rep. Mike Beltran, combined with candidates including Bea Valenti, Michael Marcel, John Peters, Robert “Rocky” Rochford, Gavriel Soriano, and Ergin “Batman” Tek, have kept vote shares dispersed. A mid-July St. Pete Polls survey showed Beltran leading the primary field at 30% and Steele at 18%, while the redrawn district—now more Republican-leaning after decades under Democrat Kathy Castor—adds general-election stakes without clarifying the GOP nominee. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with multiple contenders clustered near even odds and limited separation driven by low name recognition and minimal late-campaign consolidation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоKevin Steele 75%
John Peters 28%
Ergin "Batman" Tek 28%
Mike Beltran 27%
Kevin Steele
64%
John Peters
28%
Ergin "Batman" Tek
28%
Mike Beltran
27%
Michael Marcel
27%
Robert "Rocky" Rochford
27%
Bea Valenti
27%
Gavriel Soriano
25%
Kevin Steele 75%
John Peters 28%
Ergin "Batman" Tek 28%
Mike Beltran 27%
Kevin Steele
64%
John Peters
28%
Ergin "Batman" Tek
28%
Mike Beltran
27%
Michael Marcel
27%
Robert "Rocky" Rochford
27%
Bea Valenti
27%
Gavriel Soriano
25%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Jul 23, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A crowded eight-candidate Republican primary for Florida’s 14th congressional district, set for August 18, 2026, has produced fragmented support with no dominant frontrunner. Recent entries by state Rep. Kevin Steele and former state Rep. Mike Beltran, combined with candidates including Bea Valenti, Michael Marcel, John Peters, Robert “Rocky” Rochford, Gavriel Soriano, and Ergin “Batman” Tek, have kept vote shares dispersed. A mid-July St. Pete Polls survey showed Beltran leading the primary field at 30% and Steele at 18%, while the redrawn district—now more Republican-leaning after decades under Democrat Kathy Castor—adds general-election stakes without clarifying the GOP nominee. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with multiple contenders clustered near even odds and limited separation driven by low name recognition and minimal late-campaign consolidation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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