Incumbent Sen. Ed Markey maintains a strong trader consensus lead at 71% implied probability in the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary, buoyed by his incumbency advantage, name recognition from defeating Joe Kennedy in 2020, and consistent fundraising edge ahead of the September 1 primary. Rep. Seth Moulton, polling second at 25%, has gained momentum from a May 3-4 Emerson College survey showing Markey ahead 37%-32% among likely voters with 29% undecided, narrowing what was a wider gap in prior polls like April UNH data. Reps. Ayanna Pressley and Alexander Rikleen trail far behind at under 1% each, reflecting minimal campaign visibility and support in a two-way contest dominated by progressive veteran versus moderate challenger dynamics. High undecideds signal volatility from potential endorsements or debates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЭд Марки 71%
Сет Мултон 25%
Айанна Прессли <1%
Александр Риклин <1%
$13,018 Объем
$13,018 Объем
Эд Марки
71%
Сет Мултон
25%
Айанна Прессли
1%
Александр Риклин
<1%
Эд Марки 71%
Сет Мултон 25%
Айанна Прессли <1%
Александр Риклин <1%
$13,018 Объем
$13,018 Объем
Эд Марки
71%
Сет Мултон
25%
Айанна Прессли
1%
Александр Риклин
<1%
If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Ed Markey maintains a strong trader consensus lead at 71% implied probability in the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary, buoyed by his incumbency advantage, name recognition from defeating Joe Kennedy in 2020, and consistent fundraising edge ahead of the September 1 primary. Rep. Seth Moulton, polling second at 25%, has gained momentum from a May 3-4 Emerson College survey showing Markey ahead 37%-32% among likely voters with 29% undecided, narrowing what was a wider gap in prior polls like April UNH data. Reps. Ayanna Pressley and Alexander Rikleen trail far behind at under 1% each, reflecting minimal campaign visibility and support in a two-way contest dominated by progressive veteran versus moderate challenger dynamics. High undecideds signal volatility from potential endorsements or debates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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