Incumbent Sen. Ed Markey’s advantages as the sitting senator, combined with endorsements from Sen. Elizabeth Warren, Sen. Bernie Sanders, and Rep. Ayanna Pressley, have anchored trader consensus around an 84% implied probability of his Democratic primary win on September 1. Recent August debates with Rep. Seth Moulton highlighted differences on affordability, immigration enforcement, and age limits for Congress, yet polls from Emerson College and the University of New Hampshire show Markey maintaining a lead despite tightening margins and rising undecided voters. Moulton’s endorsements, including from Gov.-elect Mikie Sherrill, and criticism of Markey’s reelection bid have supported his 16.5% odds but have not overcome the incumbent’s structural edge in a short campaign window. Minor candidates like Pressley and Alexander Rikleen register negligible probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЭд Марки 84%
Сет Мултон 16%
Айанна Прессли <1%
Александр Риклин <1%
$79,587 Объем
$79,587 Объем
Эд Марки
84%
Сет Мултон
16%
Айанна Прессли
<1%
Александр Риклин
<1%
Эд Марки 84%
Сет Мултон 16%
Айанна Прессли <1%
Александр Риклин <1%
$79,587 Объем
$79,587 Объем
Эд Марки
84%
Сет Мултон
16%
Айанна Прессли
<1%
Александр Риклин
<1%
If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Ed Markey’s advantages as the sitting senator, combined with endorsements from Sen. Elizabeth Warren, Sen. Bernie Sanders, and Rep. Ayanna Pressley, have anchored trader consensus around an 84% implied probability of his Democratic primary win on September 1. Recent August debates with Rep. Seth Moulton highlighted differences on affordability, immigration enforcement, and age limits for Congress, yet polls from Emerson College and the University of New Hampshire show Markey maintaining a lead despite tightening margins and rising undecided voters. Moulton’s endorsements, including from Gov.-elect Mikie Sherrill, and criticism of Markey’s reelection bid have supported his 16.5% odds but have not overcome the incumbent’s structural edge in a short campaign window. Minor candidates like Pressley and Alexander Rikleen register negligible probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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