**Recent polling averages in the final weeks before Sweden's 13 September 2026 parliamentary election placed Kristdemokraterna (KD) support in the 6–7% range across multiple firms, with late surveys from Novus, Demoskop, Ipsos, Verian, and Indikator Opinion consistently showing the party clearing the 6% mark.** Official results from the Swedish Election Authority confirmed KD at 6.17% (22 seats), aligning with the pre-election consensus reflected in the 99.6% implied probability for the Over outcome. This positioning stems from KD's steady performance within the Tidö bloc amid bloc-level shifts, where the party gained modestly from 2022 levels despite the right-leaning coalition's narrow defeat. With vote counting complete and certified, only extraordinary procedural challenges—such as widespread disputes over advance ballots or a formal recount altering the national tally—could theoretically shift the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable given the established results.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOver
>99% вероятность
$3,662 Объем
$3,662 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Over
>99% вероятность
$3,662 Объем
$3,662 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**Recent polling averages in the final weeks before Sweden's 13 September 2026 parliamentary election placed Kristdemokraterna (KD) support in the 6–7% range across multiple firms, with late surveys from Novus, Demoskop, Ipsos, Verian, and Indikator Opinion consistently showing the party clearing the 6% mark.** Official results from the Swedish Election Authority confirmed KD at 6.17% (22 seats), aligning with the pre-election consensus reflected in the 99.6% implied probability for the Over outcome. This positioning stems from KD's steady performance within the Tidö bloc amid bloc-level shifts, where the party gained modestly from 2022 levels despite the right-leaning coalition's narrow defeat. With vote counting complete and certified, only extraordinary procedural challenges—such as widespread disputes over advance ballots or a formal recount altering the national tally—could theoretically shift the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable given the established results.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “Over” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 5:39 AM ET
Объем
$3,662Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 5:39 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Over
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Over
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**Recent polling averages in the final weeks before Sweden's 13 September 2026 parliamentary election placed Kristdemokraterna (KD) support in the 6–7% range across multiple firms, with late surveys from Novus, Demoskop, Ipsos, Verian, and Indikator Opinion consistently showing the party clearing the 6% mark.** Official results from the Swedish Election Authority confirmed KD at 6.17% (22 seats), aligning with the pre-election consensus reflected in the 99.6% implied probability for the Over outcome. This positioning stems from KD's steady performance within the Tidö bloc amid bloc-level shifts, where the party gained modestly from 2022 levels despite the right-leaning coalition's narrow defeat. With vote counting complete and certified, only extraordinary procedural challenges—such as widespread disputes over advance ballots or a formal recount altering the national tally—could theoretically shift the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable given the established results.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “Over” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Объем
$3,662Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 5:39 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Over
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Over
**Recent polling averages in the final weeks before Sweden's 13 September 2026 parliamentary election placed Kristdemokraterna (KD) support in the 6–7% range across multiple firms, with late surveys from Novus, Demoskop, Ipsos, Verian, and Indikator Opinion consistently showing the party clearing the 6% mark.** Official results from the Swedish Election Authority confirmed KD at 6.17% (22 seats), aligning with the pre-election consensus reflected in the 99.6% implied probability for the Over outcome. This positioning stems from KD's steady performance within the Tidö bloc amid bloc-level shifts, where the party gained modestly from 2022 levels despite the right-leaning coalition's narrow defeat. With vote counting complete and certified, only extraordinary procedural challenges—such as widespread disputes over advance ballots or a formal recount altering the national tally—could theoretically shift the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable given the established results.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы