Recent opinion polls for Sweden’s September 13, 2026, parliamentary election place Centerpartiet (C) between 6.1% and 7.3%, with the latest Demoskop survey from late July to mid-August showing 7.3% and Novus at 6.6%. These figures, consistent across SCB’s May measurement and multiple June-July trackers, reflect modest stabilization or slight gains for the liberal, pro-EU party amid a competitive race dominated by the Social Democrats and Sweden Democrats. The implied probability favoring “Over 6%” aligns with this polling consensus, though the narrow margin above the mark leaves room for late shifts from campaign dynamics, turnout variations, or sampling error before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOver
65% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
Over
65% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Centre Party (C) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Centre Party (C) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls for Sweden’s September 13, 2026, parliamentary election place Centerpartiet (C) between 6.1% and 7.3%, with the latest Demoskop survey from late July to mid-August showing 7.3% and Novus at 6.6%. These figures, consistent across SCB’s May measurement and multiple June-July trackers, reflect modest stabilization or slight gains for the liberal, pro-EU party amid a competitive race dominated by the Social Democrats and Sweden Democrats. The implied probability favoring “Over 6%” aligns with this polling consensus, though the narrow margin above the mark leaves room for late shifts from campaign dynamics, turnout variations, or sampling error before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Centre Party (C) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Centre Party (C) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “Over” if Centre Party (C) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Centre Party (C) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
Объем
$715Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Centre Party (C) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Centre Party (C) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls for Sweden’s September 13, 2026, parliamentary election place Centerpartiet (C) between 6.1% and 7.3%, with the latest Demoskop survey from late July to mid-August showing 7.3% and Novus at 6.6%. These figures, consistent across SCB’s May measurement and multiple June-July trackers, reflect modest stabilization or slight gains for the liberal, pro-EU party amid a competitive race dominated by the Social Democrats and Sweden Democrats. The implied probability favoring “Over 6%” aligns with this polling consensus, though the narrow margin above the mark leaves room for late shifts from campaign dynamics, turnout variations, or sampling error before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Centre Party (C) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Centre Party (C) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “Over” if Centre Party (C) wins at least 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve to “Under” if Centre Party (C) wins less than 6% of all valid votes in the specified election
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Объем
$715Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent opinion polls for Sweden’s September 13, 2026, parliamentary election place Centerpartiet (C) between 6.1% and 7.3%, with the latest Demoskop survey from late July to mid-August showing 7.3% and Novus at 6.6%. These figures, consistent across SCB’s May measurement and multiple June-July trackers, reflect modest stabilization or slight gains for the liberal, pro-EU party amid a competitive race dominated by the Social Democrats and Sweden Democrats. The implied probability favoring “Over 6%” aligns with this polling consensus, though the narrow margin above the mark leaves room for late shifts from campaign dynamics, turnout variations, or sampling error before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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