The closely matched probabilities in Espírito Santo reflect a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 first round, with national polling averages showing incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) holding a narrow edge over Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) while governors Romeu Zema (NOVO), Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), and smaller contenders such as Renan Santos and Augusto Cury draw limited but regionally variable support. Recent party conventions have formalized these candidacies, and early campaign messaging has centered on economic measures, anti-establishment appeals, and coalition-building in the Southeast, where voter blocs remain polarized between PT and Liberal Party bases. Limited state-specific polling and the presence of multiple right-leaning options prevent any single candidate from pulling decisively ahead in trader assessments of the local outcome. Upcoming debates, further regional surveys, and shifts in turnout patterns among undecided or swing voters could alter the ordering before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоФлавио Болсонару 37%
Зема 37%
Хертц Диас 37%
Ренан Сантос 36%

Флавио Болсонару
37%

Зема
37%

Хертц Диас
37%

Ренан Сантос
36%

Эдмилсон Коста
36%

Писатель Аугусто Кури
36%

Лула
36%

Пабло Марсал
35%

Клариана Барао
33%

Роналду Кайаду
32%

Руй Коста Пимента
11%

Самара
36%

Ветеринар Вилсон Грасси
41%
Флавио Болсонару 37%
Зема 37%
Хертц Диас 37%
Ренан Сантос 36%

Флавио Болсонару
37%

Зема
37%

Хертц Диас
37%

Ренан Сантос
36%

Эдмилсон Коста
36%

Писатель Аугусто Кури
36%

Лула
36%

Пабло Марсал
35%

Клариана Барао
33%

Роналду Кайаду
32%

Руй Коста Пимента
11%

Самара
36%

Ветеринар Вилсон Грасси
41%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities in Espírito Santo reflect a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 first round, with national polling averages showing incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) holding a narrow edge over Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) while governors Romeu Zema (NOVO), Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), and smaller contenders such as Renan Santos and Augusto Cury draw limited but regionally variable support. Recent party conventions have formalized these candidacies, and early campaign messaging has centered on economic measures, anti-establishment appeals, and coalition-building in the Southeast, where voter blocs remain polarized between PT and Liberal Party bases. Limited state-specific polling and the presence of multiple right-leaning options prevent any single candidate from pulling decisively ahead in trader assessments of the local outcome. Upcoming debates, further regional surveys, and shifts in turnout patterns among undecided or swing voters could alter the ordering before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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