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icon for Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)

icon for Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)

НОВОЕ
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Francesca Hong

Francesca Hong

$2,512 Объем

97%

icon for David Crowley

David Crowley

$53 Объем

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.Francesca Hong holds a commanding position in the Dane County portion of Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic gubernatorial primary due to her status as a sitting state representative from Madison’s 76th Assembly District, deep grassroots organizing in the county’s progressive core, and consistent polling leads of more than 20 points statewide among Democratic voters. Recent campaign events and final surveys have reinforced her momentum among working-class and left-leaning voters in the Madison area, while rivals including David Crowley, Kelda Roys, and Joel Brennan trail without comparable local infrastructure. The primary’s proximity leaves limited time for shifts, though a late surge in turnout from another candidate’s base or unexpected withdrawal dynamics could still affect the county outcome before polls close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.
Объем
$2,566
Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.Francesca Hong holds a commanding position in the Dane County portion of Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic gubernatorial primary due to her status as a sitting state representative from Madison’s 76th Assembly District, deep grassroots organizing in the county’s progressive core, and consistent polling leads of more than 20 points statewide among Democratic voters. Recent campaign events and final surveys have reinforced her momentum among working-class and left-leaning voters in the Madison area, while rivals including David Crowley, Kelda Roys, and Joel Brennan trail without comparable local infrastructure. The primary’s proximity leaves limited time for shifts, though a late surge in turnout from another candidate’s base or unexpected withdrawal dynamics could still affect the county outcome before polls close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.
Объем
$2,566
Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.

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«Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Francesca Hong» с 97%, за ним следует «David Crowley» с 2%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 97¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 97%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 7, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)» — «Francesca Hong» с 97%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 97%. Следующий ближайший исход — «David Crowley» с 2%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.