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Политика·Первичные

Основные победители WA-03

icon for Основные победители WA-03
Политика·Первичные

Основные победители WA-03

$34,498 Объем

4 авг. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$34,498 Объем

Polymarket

Мари Глюзенкамп Перес

$4,468 Объем

94%

Джон Браун

$3,634 Объем

90%

Сузанна В. Таннер

$399 Объем

34%

Энтони Барран

$62 Объем

26%

Брент Хенрих

$17,609 Объем

17%

Лоуренс Келлогг

$4,128 Объем

11%

Эрик Вон

$4,198 Объем

5%

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez faces a crowded 12-candidate top-two primary field in Washington's 3rd Congressional District on August 4, 2026, with Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun as her strongest challenger following former President Trump's April endorsement and the National Republican Congressional Committee's recent internal poll showing Braun ahead 41%-34% in a hypothetical general matchup amid Perez's 50% unfavorable rating. Perez holds a fundraising edge with over $3.4 million cash on hand as of late March, compared to Braun's $918,000, positioning both as frontrunners to advance regardless of party under Washington's nonpartisan primary system. The R+2 district, which Trump carried narrowly in 2024, remains a toss-up per Cook Political Report, with ballots mailing in mid-July and voter registration closing July 27.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Объем
$34,498
Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 18, 2025, 3:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez faces a crowded 12-candidate top-two primary field in Washington's 3rd Congressional District on August 4, 2026, with Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun as her strongest challenger following former President Trump's April endorsement and the National Republican Congressional Committee's recent internal poll showing Braun ahead 41%-34% in a hypothetical general matchup amid Perez's 50% unfavorable rating. Perez holds a fundraising edge with over $3.4 million cash on hand as of late March, compared to Braun's $918,000, positioning both as frontrunners to advance regardless of party under Washington's nonpartisan primary system. The R+2 district, which Trump carried narrowly in 2024, remains a toss-up per Cook Political Report, with ballots mailing in mid-July and voter registration closing July 27.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Объем
$34,498
Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 18, 2025, 3:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Основные победители WA-03» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Мари Глюзенкамп Перес» с 94%, за ним следует «Джон Браун» с 90%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 94¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 94%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Основные победители WA-03» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $34.5K с момента запуска рынка Dec 18, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Основные победители WA-03», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Основные победители WA-03» — «Мари Глюзенкамп Перес» с 94%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 94%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Джон Браун» с 90%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Основные победители WA-03» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.