Josh Turek secured the Iowa Democratic Senate nomination on June 2 with roughly 62% of the vote against state Sen. Zach Wahls, producing a margin near 25 points that matches current trader consensus around the 20-30% range. Late polling from VoteVets and Public Policy Polling showed Turek building double-digit leads through superior name recognition, outside spending, and emphasis on general-election viability in a Republican-leaning state, while Wahls struggled to consolidate support after other candidates exited. Party infrastructure and endorsements further solidified Turek’s position ahead of the open-seat contest to replace retiring Sen. Joni Ernst. Resolution remains subject to official certification, though a recount or legal dispute would be required to alter the certified margin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПервичная маржа победы Демократического сената Айовы
Первичная маржа победы Демократического сената Айовы
Турек 20–30% 98.9%
Уолс побеждает 1.0%
Турек 10–20% <1%
Турек 30%+ <1%
$5,690 Объем
$5,690 Объем
2 июн. 2026 г.
Турек <10%
6%
Турек 30%+
<1%
Турек 10–20%
8%
Турек 20–30%
99%
Уолс побеждает
1%
Турек 20–30% 98.9%
Уолс побеждает 1.0%
Турек 10–20% <1%
Турек 30%+ <1%
$5,690 Объем
$5,690 Объем
2 июн. 2026 г.
Турек <10%
$410 Объем
6%
Турек 30%+
$315 Объем
<1%
Турек 10–20%
$377 Объем
8%
Турек 20–30%
$4,277 Объем
99%
Уолс побеждает
$311 Объем
1%
Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Josh Turek secured the Iowa Democratic Senate nomination on June 2 with roughly 62% of the vote against state Sen. Zach Wahls, producing a margin near 25 points that matches current trader consensus around the 20-30% range. Late polling from VoteVets and Public Policy Polling showed Turek building double-digit leads through superior name recognition, outside spending, and emphasis on general-election viability in a Republican-leaning state, while Wahls struggled to consolidate support after other candidates exited. Party infrastructure and endorsements further solidified Turek’s position ahead of the open-seat contest to replace retiring Sen. Joni Ernst. Resolution remains subject to official certification, though a recount or legal dispute would be required to alter the certified margin.
Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Открытие рынка: Jun 2, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Объем
$5,690Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 2, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Josh Turek secured the Iowa Democratic Senate nomination on June 2 with roughly 62% of the vote against state Sen. Zach Wahls, producing a margin near 25 points that matches current trader consensus around the 20-30% range. Late polling from VoteVets and Public Policy Polling showed Turek building double-digit leads through superior name recognition, outside spending, and emphasis on general-election viability in a Republican-leaning state, while Wahls struggled to consolidate support after other candidates exited. Party infrastructure and endorsements further solidified Turek’s position ahead of the open-seat contest to replace retiring Sen. Joni Ernst. Resolution remains subject to official certification, though a recount or legal dispute would be required to alter the certified margin.
Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$5,690Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 2, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Josh Turek secured the Iowa Democratic Senate nomination on June 2 with roughly 62% of the vote against state Sen. Zach Wahls, producing a margin near 25 points that matches current trader consensus around the 20-30% range. Late polling from VoteVets and Public Policy Polling showed Turek building double-digit leads through superior name recognition, outside spending, and emphasis on general-election viability in a Republican-leaning state, while Wahls struggled to consolidate support after other candidates exited. Party infrastructure and endorsements further solidified Turek’s position ahead of the open-seat contest to replace retiring Sen. Joni Ernst. Resolution remains subject to official certification, though a recount or legal dispute would be required to alter the certified margin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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