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Политика·Gerrymander

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

icon for Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Политика·Gerrymander

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

$395,136 Объем

3 нояб. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$395,136 Объем

Polymarket

California

$17,232 Объем

98%

Texas

$19,793 Объем

98%

North Carolina

$11,909 Объем

96%

Ohio

$7,385 Объем

95%

Utah

$93,640 Объем

91%

Florida

$7,123 Объем

98%

Louisiana

$16,019 Объем

93%

Missouri

$5,494 Объем

93%

Virginia

$9,944 Объем

5%

Alabama

$16,806 Объем

91%

South Carolina

$28,897 Объем

<1%

Georgia

$8,469 Объем

6%

Kansas

$7,979 Объем

<1%

New Jersey

$6,034 Объем

4%

Indiana

$34,456 Объем

5%

Washington

$10,099 Объем

4%

Nebraska

$7,515 Объем

5%

Illinois

$11,855 Объем

2%

Minnesota

$15,865 Объем

5%

New York

$19,708 Объем

3%

Maryland

$16,339 Объем

4%

Wisconsin

$22,576 Объем

2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Mid-decade redistricting has produced new congressional maps in ten states for the 2026 House elections: Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah. The process began in summer 2025 when Texas enacted revised districts, prompting a chain of legislative actions in both Republican- and Democratic-led states aimed at adjusting partisan seat shares. Courts and the U.S. Supreme Court have resolved multiple challenges, including stays that allowed Texas and Alabama maps to take effect after rulings on racial gerrymandering standards. Candidate filing deadlines and primaries have already passed or are imminent in several of these states, locking in the lines for November 3 voting absent any late litigation reversals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$395,136
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Mid-decade redistricting has produced new congressional maps in ten states for the 2026 House elections: Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah. The process began in summer 2025 when Texas enacted revised districts, prompting a chain of legislative actions in both Republican- and Democratic-led states aimed at adjusting partisan seat shares. Courts and the U.S. Supreme Court have resolved multiple challenges, including stays that allowed Texas and Alabama maps to take effect after rulings on racial gerrymandering standards. Candidate filing deadlines and primaries have already passed or are imminent in several of these states, locking in the lines for November 3 voting absent any late litigation reversals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$395,136
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.

Связанные

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Новая карта избирательных округов Вирджинии использовалась на промежуточных выборах?

4%
Да
icon for Состоятся ли промежуточные выборы 2026 года по расписанию?

Состоятся ли промежуточные выборы 2026 года по расписанию?

96%
Да
icon for В период избирательной кампании 2026 года смогут ли действующие члены Палаты представителей от Демократической партии не победить в числе от десяти до двенадцати праймериз?

В период избирательной кампании 2026 года смогут ли действующие члены Палаты представителей от Демократической партии не победить в числе от десяти до двенадцати праймериз?

50%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

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На сегодняшний день «Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $395.1K с момента запуска рынка Apr 30, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

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Текущий фаворит для «Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?» — «California» с 98%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 98%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Texas» с 98%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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