Mid-decade congressional redistricting battles, spurred by U.S. Supreme Court rulings like the April 29 Louisiana v. Callais decision limiting Section 2 Voting Rights Act claims, have led eight states—California, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—to enact new maps for the 2026 midterms, with projected partisan seat shifts favoring Republicans in most except California and Utah. Recent actions include Florida's map signed May 4, Tennessee's May 7, and Alabama's potential shift after May 11 Supreme Court relief from injunctions. Ongoing litigation in Georgia, Louisiana (primaries delayed), and Virginia (state court blocked referendum May 8, federal appeal pending) leaves three states uncertain, alongside Missouri's May 14 Supreme Court hearing on a repeal referendum, as traders weigh final court outcomes before November 3 elections.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$253,894 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
California
97%
Texas
95%
North Carolina
97%
Ohio
94%
Utah
88%
Florida
68%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
86%
Virginia
15%
Alabama
84%
South Carolina
77%
Georgia
12%
Kansas
7%
New Jersey
6%
Indiana
6%
Washington
8%
Nebraska
7%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
3%
New York
13%
Maryland
10%
Wisconsin
15%
$253,894 Объем
California
$12,000 Объем
97%
Texas
$3,503 Объем
95%
North Carolina
$8,544 Объем
97%
Ohio
$5,766 Объем
94%
Utah
$59,204 Объем
88%
Florida
$1,177 Объем
68%
Louisiana
$15,525 Объем
93%
Missouri
$3,904 Объем
86%
Virginia
$6,350 Объем
15%
Alabama
$14,726 Объем
84%
South Carolina
$21,608 Объем
77%
Georgia
$1,945 Объем
12%
Kansas
$5,012 Объем
7%
New Jersey
$5,044 Объем
6%
Indiana
$28,281 Объем
6%
Washington
$5,135 Объем
8%
Nebraska
$6,500 Объем
7%
Illinois
$9,819 Объем
2%
Minnesota
$9,398 Объем
3%
New York
$8,026 Объем
13%
Maryland
$7,213 Объем
10%
Wisconsin
$15,213 Объем
15%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Mid-decade congressional redistricting battles, spurred by U.S. Supreme Court rulings like the April 29 Louisiana v. Callais decision limiting Section 2 Voting Rights Act claims, have led eight states—California, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—to enact new maps for the 2026 midterms, with projected partisan seat shifts favoring Republicans in most except California and Utah. Recent actions include Florida's map signed May 4, Tennessee's May 7, and Alabama's potential shift after May 11 Supreme Court relief from injunctions. Ongoing litigation in Georgia, Louisiana (primaries delayed), and Virginia (state court blocked referendum May 8, federal appeal pending) leaves three states uncertain, alongside Missouri's May 14 Supreme Court hearing on a repeal referendum, as traders weigh final court outcomes before November 3 elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Объем
$253,894Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Mid-decade congressional redistricting battles, spurred by U.S. Supreme Court rulings like the April 29 Louisiana v. Callais decision limiting Section 2 Voting Rights Act claims, have led eight states—California, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—to enact new maps for the 2026 midterms, with projected partisan seat shifts favoring Republicans in most except California and Utah. Recent actions include Florida's map signed May 4, Tennessee's May 7, and Alabama's potential shift after May 11 Supreme Court relief from injunctions. Ongoing litigation in Georgia, Louisiana (primaries delayed), and Virginia (state court blocked referendum May 8, federal appeal pending) leaves three states uncertain, alongside Missouri's May 14 Supreme Court hearing on a repeal referendum, as traders weigh final court outcomes before November 3 elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$253,894Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mid-decade congressional redistricting battles, spurred by U.S. Supreme Court rulings like the April 29 Louisiana v. Callais decision limiting Section 2 Voting Rights Act claims, have led eight states—California, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—to enact new maps for the 2026 midterms, with projected partisan seat shifts favoring Republicans in most except California and Utah. Recent actions include Florida's map signed May 4, Tennessee's May 7, and Alabama's potential shift after May 11 Supreme Court relief from injunctions. Ongoing litigation in Georgia, Louisiana (primaries delayed), and Virginia (state court blocked referendum May 8, federal appeal pending) leaves three states uncertain, alongside Missouri's May 14 Supreme Court hearing on a repeal referendum, as traders weigh final court outcomes before November 3 elections.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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