The Georgia Republican Senate primary runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley remains closely contested ahead of the June 16 vote, with trader odds reflecting narrow margins and uncertainty over the final spread. Collins led the May primary with roughly 40.5% to Dooley’s 30%, but the absence of a majority forced the runoff and highlighted divided party factions, including Collins’ self-described MAGA positioning versus Dooley’s ties to Gov. Brian Kemp. President Trump has withheld an endorsement, leaving both candidates to compete for the same voter base without a decisive external boost. Recent developments such as their late-May debate have not produced clear separation, while historical runoff turnout patterns and the short timeline between rounds keep the outcome sensitive to last-minute mobilization and any late shifts in support.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCollins <5% 45%
Collins 10–15% 41%
Collins 15–20% 39%
Коллинз 20–25% 39%
$126 Объем
$126 Объем
Дули побеждает
15%
Collins <5%
45%
Коллинз 5–10%
30%
Collins 10–15%
41%
Collins 15–20%
39%
Коллинз 20–25%
39%
Collins 25%+
39%
Collins <5% 45%
Collins 10–15% 41%
Collins 15–20% 39%
Коллинз 20–25% 39%
$126 Объем
$126 Объем
Дули побеждает
15%
Collins <5%
45%
Коллинз 5–10%
30%
Collins 10–15%
41%
Collins 15–20%
39%
Коллинз 20–25%
39%
Collins 25%+
39%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Открытие рынка: Jun 10, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Georgia Republican Senate primary runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley remains closely contested ahead of the June 16 vote, with trader odds reflecting narrow margins and uncertainty over the final spread. Collins led the May primary with roughly 40.5% to Dooley’s 30%, but the absence of a majority forced the runoff and highlighted divided party factions, including Collins’ self-described MAGA positioning versus Dooley’s ties to Gov. Brian Kemp. President Trump has withheld an endorsement, leaving both candidates to compete for the same voter base without a decisive external boost. Recent developments such as their late-May debate have not produced clear separation, while historical runoff turnout patterns and the short timeline between rounds keep the outcome sensitive to last-minute mobilization and any late shifts in support.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы