The impending 18 June by-election in Aberdeen South, triggered by SNP MP Stephen Flynn’s resignation after his Scottish Parliament election, features a crowded field including Richard Thomson (SNP), Douglas Lumsden (Conservatives), Nurul Hoque Ali (Labour), Jo Hart (Reform UK), Jorg Shelton-Eckstein (Greens), Mel Sullivan (Liberal Democrats), and others. Trader odds remain tightly clustered near 40-50% because the short campaign has centered on North Sea energy policy without decisive shifts in local support, while opposition fragmentation and limited polling leave room for last-minute swings in turnout or tactical voting. Scheduled debates and candidate announcements in late May have not yet produced clear separation, sustaining broad uncertainty ahead of polling day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДуглас Ламсден 42%
Йорг Шелтон-Экштейн 41%
Ричард Гордон Томсон 41%
Джо Харт 41%
Дуглас Ламсден
42%
Йорг Шелтон-Экштейн
41%
Ричард Гордон Томсон
41%
Джо Харт
41%
Мел Салливан
41%
Дэвид Баллантайн
41%
Нурул Хок Али
39%
Дуглас Ламсден 42%
Йорг Шелтон-Экштейн 41%
Ричард Гордон Томсон 41%
Джо Харт 41%
Дуглас Ламсден
42%
Йорг Шелтон-Экштейн
41%
Ричард Гордон Томсон
41%
Джо Харт
41%
Мел Салливан
41%
Дэвид Баллантайн
41%
Нурул Хок Али
39%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).
Открытие рынка: Jun 9, 2026, 6:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The impending 18 June by-election in Aberdeen South, triggered by SNP MP Stephen Flynn’s resignation after his Scottish Parliament election, features a crowded field including Richard Thomson (SNP), Douglas Lumsden (Conservatives), Nurul Hoque Ali (Labour), Jo Hart (Reform UK), Jorg Shelton-Eckstein (Greens), Mel Sullivan (Liberal Democrats), and others. Trader odds remain tightly clustered near 40-50% because the short campaign has centered on North Sea energy policy without decisive shifts in local support, while opposition fragmentation and limited polling leave room for last-minute swings in turnout or tactical voting. Scheduled debates and candidate announcements in late May have not yet produced clear separation, sustaining broad uncertainty ahead of polling day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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