The extremely close June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez has produced a statistical tie in partial results, with roughly 95 percent of ballots counted and margins under 0.2 percentage points as rural and Andean votes continue to offset Fujimori’s urban and coastal strength. Regional divides, polarized voter blocs, and a large share of contested ballots processed by special electoral juries sustain uncertainty over the final tally expected by July. Trader pricing concentrates on narrow Fujimori victory brackets because remaining counts and any recounts could still shift the outcome by fractions of a point while Sánchez’s current slim edge remains vulnerable to late urban or coastal adjustments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено2-й тур выборов в Перу: предел победы? (скобки 0,1%)
2-й тур выборов в Перу: предел победы? (скобки 0,1%)
Фухимори 0,2–0,3% 26%
Фухимори 0,3–0,4% 23%
Фухимори 0,1–0,2% 21%
Фухимори 0–0,1% 20%
НОВОЕ
$251,032 Объем
НОВОЕ
$251,032 Объем
Фухимори 1%+
<1%
Фухимори 0,9–1,0%
<1%
Фухимори 0,8–0,9%
<1%
Фухимори 0,7–0,8%
<1%
Фухимори 0,6–0,7%
<1%
Фухимори 0,5–0,6%
<1%
Фухимори 0,4–0,5%
5%
Фухимори 0,3–0,4%
23%
Фухимори 0,2–0,3%
26%
Фухимори 0,1–0,2%
21%
Фухимори 0–0,1%
20%
Санчес 0–0,1%
4%
Санчес 0,1–0,2%
<1%
Санчес 0,2–0,3%
<1%
Санчес 0,3–0,4%
1%
Санчес 0,4–0,5%
<1%
Санчес 0,5–0,6%
<1%
Санчес 0,6–0,7%
<1%
Санчес 0,7–0,8%
<1%
Санчес 0,8–0,9%
<1%
Санчес 0,9–1,0%
<1%
Санчес 1%+
<1%
Другой
<1%
Фухимори 0,2–0,3% 26%
Фухимори 0,3–0,4% 23%
Фухимори 0,1–0,2% 21%
Фухимори 0–0,1% 20%
НОВОЕ
$251,032 Объем
НОВОЕ
$251,032 Объем
Фухимори 1%+
$6,384 Объем
<1%
Фухимори 0,9–1,0%
$3,929 Объем
<1%
Фухимори 0,8–0,9%
$3,400 Объем
<1%
Фухимори 0,7–0,8%
$5,255 Объем
<1%
Фухимори 0,6–0,7%
$4,555 Объем
<1%
Фухимори 0,5–0,6%
$4,661 Объем
<1%
Фухимори 0,4–0,5%
$21,115 Объем
5%
Фухимори 0,3–0,4%
$35,370 Объем
23%
Фухимори 0,2–0,3%
$18,336 Объем
26%
Фухимори 0,1–0,2%
$24,231 Объем
21%
Фухимори 0–0,1%
$33,647 Объем
20%
Санчес 0–0,1%
$14,482 Объем
4%
Санчес 0,1–0,2%
$11,476 Объем
<1%
Санчес 0,2–0,3%
$9,985 Объем
<1%
Санчес 0,3–0,4%
$7,746 Объем
1%
Санчес 0,4–0,5%
$6,786 Объем
<1%
Санчес 0,5–0,6%
$6,153 Объем
<1%
Санчес 0,6–0,7%
$6,934 Объем
<1%
Санчес 0,7–0,8%
$9,593 Объем
<1%
Санчес 0,8–0,9%
$4,756 Объем
<1%
Санчес 0,9–1,0%
$4,631 Объем
<1%
Санчес 1%+
$4,525 Объем
<1%
Другой
$6,649 Объем
<1%
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The extremely close June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez has produced a statistical tie in partial results, with roughly 95 percent of ballots counted and margins under 0.2 percentage points as rural and Andean votes continue to offset Fujimori’s urban and coastal strength. Regional divides, polarized voter blocs, and a large share of contested ballots processed by special electoral juries sustain uncertainty over the final tally expected by July. Trader pricing concentrates on narrow Fujimori victory brackets because remaining counts and any recounts could still shift the outcome by fractions of a point while Sánchez’s current slim edge remains vulnerable to late urban or coastal adjustments.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Открытие рынка: Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ET
Объем
$251,032Открытие рынка
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The extremely close June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez has produced a statistical tie in partial results, with roughly 95 percent of ballots counted and margins under 0.2 percentage points as rural and Andean votes continue to offset Fujimori’s urban and coastal strength. Regional divides, polarized voter blocs, and a large share of contested ballots processed by special electoral juries sustain uncertainty over the final tally expected by July. Trader pricing concentrates on narrow Fujimori victory brackets because remaining counts and any recounts could still shift the outcome by fractions of a point while Sánchez’s current slim edge remains vulnerable to late urban or coastal adjustments.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$251,032Открытие рынка
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The extremely close June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez has produced a statistical tie in partial results, with roughly 95 percent of ballots counted and margins under 0.2 percentage points as rural and Andean votes continue to offset Fujimori’s urban and coastal strength. Regional divides, polarized voter blocs, and a large share of contested ballots processed by special electoral juries sustain uncertainty over the final tally expected by July. Trader pricing concentrates on narrow Fujimori victory brackets because remaining counts and any recounts could still shift the outcome by fractions of a point while Sánchez’s current slim edge remains vulnerable to late urban or coastal adjustments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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