The by-election for Arbroath and Broughty Ferry, triggered by SNP MP Stephen Gethins's resignation after his May 2026 election to the Scottish Parliament under rules barring dual mandates, features a five-candidate contest on 18 June with nominations closing 22 May. Lara Bird (SNP), Heather Doran (Labour), Tanvir Ahmad (Liberal Democrats), Jack Cruickshanks (Conservative), and Bill Reid (Reform UK) stand in a seat that recorded a narrow SNP win over Labour in 2024. With no published polling and a fragmented field under first-past-the-post, traders see limited separation among the main contenders, as local factors, turnout patterns, and vote splitting among opposition parties could determine the outcome in the final week.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЛара Бёрд 43%
Хизер Доран 43%
Билл Рейд 42%
Джек Круикшэнкс 42%

Лара Бёрд
43%

Хизер Доран
43%

Билл Рейд
42%

Джек Круикшэнкс
42%

Танвир Ахмад
40%
Лара Бёрд 43%
Хизер Доран 43%
Билл Рейд 42%
Джек Круикшэнкс 42%

Лара Бёрд
43%

Хизер Доран
43%

Билл Рейд
42%

Джек Круикшэнкс
42%

Танвир Ахмад
40%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Angus Council (https://www.angus.gov.uk/).
Открытие рынка: Jun 9, 2026, 6:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Angus Council (https://www.angus.gov.uk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The by-election for Arbroath and Broughty Ferry, triggered by SNP MP Stephen Gethins's resignation after his May 2026 election to the Scottish Parliament under rules barring dual mandates, features a five-candidate contest on 18 June with nominations closing 22 May. Lara Bird (SNP), Heather Doran (Labour), Tanvir Ahmad (Liberal Democrats), Jack Cruickshanks (Conservative), and Bill Reid (Reform UK) stand in a seat that recorded a narrow SNP win over Labour in 2024. With no published polling and a fragmented field under first-past-the-post, traders see limited separation among the main contenders, as local factors, turnout patterns, and vote splitting among opposition parties could determine the outcome in the final week.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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