Labour's Andy Burnham holds a narrow lead in recent constituency polling for the 18 June Makerfield by-election, driven by his personal profile as Greater Manchester mayor and the party's selection process following Josh Simons' resignation. Reform UK's Robert Kenyon, a local candidate, trails closely behind on named-ballot measures while leading generic Westminster voting intention by double digits in the same surveys, reflecting the party's 2024 second-place finish and ongoing focus on immigration and cost-of-living issues. These patterns position Kenyon as the strong favourite for second place among traders. Other candidates, including Rebecca Shepherd of Restore Britain, register single-digit support and lack comparable momentum or local recognition. The contest remains within the final week before polling, with turnout and late shifts in Reform or Labour preferences the main variables that could alter the ordering.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMakerfield by-election: 2nd Place
Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place
Robert Kenyon 83%
Andy Burnham 8.3%
Rebecca Shepherd 5.9%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$63,999 Объем
$63,999 Объем
18 июн. 2026 г.
Robert Kenyon
83%
Andy Burnham
8%
Rebecca Shepherd
6%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
John Skipworth
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
Robert Kenyon 83%
Andy Burnham 8.3%
Rebecca Shepherd 5.9%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$63,999 Объем
$63,999 Объем
18 июн. 2026 г.
Robert Kenyon
$4,428 Объем
83%
Andy Burnham
$2,687 Объем
8%
Rebecca Shepherd
$52,680 Объем
6%
Simon Finkelstein
$1,369 Объем
<1%
John Skipworth
$1,074 Объем
<1%
Maria Deery
$740 Объем
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
$1,021 Объем
<1%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Labour's Andy Burnham holds a narrow lead in recent constituency polling for the 18 June Makerfield by-election, driven by his personal profile as Greater Manchester mayor and the party's selection process following Josh Simons' resignation. Reform UK's Robert Kenyon, a local candidate, trails closely behind on named-ballot measures while leading generic Westminster voting intention by double digits in the same surveys, reflecting the party's 2024 second-place finish and ongoing focus on immigration and cost-of-living issues. These patterns position Kenyon as the strong favourite for second place among traders. Other candidates, including Rebecca Shepherd of Restore Britain, register single-digit support and lack comparable momentum or local recognition. The contest remains within the final week before polling, with turnout and late shifts in Reform or Labour preferences the main variables that could alter the ordering.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Открытие рынка: May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
Объем
$63,999Дата окончания
18 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Labour's Andy Burnham holds a narrow lead in recent constituency polling for the 18 June Makerfield by-election, driven by his personal profile as Greater Manchester mayor and the party's selection process following Josh Simons' resignation. Reform UK's Robert Kenyon, a local candidate, trails closely behind on named-ballot measures while leading generic Westminster voting intention by double digits in the same surveys, reflecting the party's 2024 second-place finish and ongoing focus on immigration and cost-of-living issues. These patterns position Kenyon as the strong favourite for second place among traders. Other candidates, including Rebecca Shepherd of Restore Britain, register single-digit support and lack comparable momentum or local recognition. The contest remains within the final week before polling, with turnout and late shifts in Reform or Labour preferences the main variables that could alter the ordering.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Объем
$63,999Дата окончания
18 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Labour's Andy Burnham holds a narrow lead in recent constituency polling for the 18 June Makerfield by-election, driven by his personal profile as Greater Manchester mayor and the party's selection process following Josh Simons' resignation. Reform UK's Robert Kenyon, a local candidate, trails closely behind on named-ballot measures while leading generic Westminster voting intention by double digits in the same surveys, reflecting the party's 2024 second-place finish and ongoing focus on immigration and cost-of-living issues. These patterns position Kenyon as the strong favourite for second place among traders. Other candidates, including Rebecca Shepherd of Restore Britain, register single-digit support and lack comparable momentum or local recognition. The contest remains within the final week before polling, with turnout and late shifts in Reform or Labour preferences the main variables that could alter the ordering.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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