Trader consensus reflects a 92.5% implied probability against former Prince Andrew, now Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, being sentenced to prison, anchored by his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office linked to Jeffrey Epstein files, followed by swift release without charges after questioning and home searches. Thames Valley Police continue a lengthy investigation into the common law offense, potentially carrying life imprisonment if prosecuted, but no formal charges have emerged in the three months since, amid procedural complexities and historical patterns like his 2022 civil settlement with Virginia Giuffre avoiding criminal action. British authorities' March request for U.S. DOJ cooperation adds uncertainty, though late-breaking evidence or escalation could shift odds; barring charges, conviction remains a high barrier.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$209,684 Объем
$209,684 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$209,684 Объем
$209,684 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a 92.5% implied probability against former Prince Andrew, now Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, being sentenced to prison, anchored by his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office linked to Jeffrey Epstein files, followed by swift release without charges after questioning and home searches. Thames Valley Police continue a lengthy investigation into the common law offense, potentially carrying life imprisonment if prosecuted, but no formal charges have emerged in the three months since, amid procedural complexities and historical patterns like his 2022 civil settlement with Virginia Giuffre avoiding criminal action. British authorities' March request for U.S. DOJ cooperation adds uncertainty, though late-breaking evidence or escalation could shift odds; barring charges, conviction remains a high barrier.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Объем
$209,684Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a 92.5% implied probability against former Prince Andrew, now Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, being sentenced to prison, anchored by his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office linked to Jeffrey Epstein files, followed by swift release without charges after questioning and home searches. Thames Valley Police continue a lengthy investigation into the common law offense, potentially carrying life imprisonment if prosecuted, but no formal charges have emerged in the three months since, amid procedural complexities and historical patterns like his 2022 civil settlement with Virginia Giuffre avoiding criminal action. British authorities' March request for U.S. DOJ cooperation adds uncertainty, though late-breaking evidence or escalation could shift odds; barring charges, conviction remains a high barrier.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$209,684Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 92.5% implied probability against former Prince Andrew, now Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, being sentenced to prison, anchored by his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office linked to Jeffrey Epstein files, followed by swift release without charges after questioning and home searches. Thames Valley Police continue a lengthy investigation into the common law offense, potentially carrying life imprisonment if prosecuted, but no formal charges have emerged in the three months since, amid procedural complexities and historical patterns like his 2022 civil settlement with Virginia Giuffre avoiding criminal action. British authorities' March request for U.S. DOJ cooperation adds uncertainty, though late-breaking evidence or escalation could shift odds; barring charges, conviction remains a high barrier.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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