Trader consensus prices a Ghislaine Maxwell pardon by Trump at under 10% likelihood, reflecting no official White House signals or executive actions despite her exhausted appeals—Supreme Court declined review in October 2025—and ongoing incarceration following her 2022 sex-trafficking conviction. Recent House Oversight Committee discussions revealed some Republicans open to clemency if Maxwell cooperates on Jeffrey Epstein files, prompting Democratic outrage and resolutions opposing it, as voiced by Ranking Member Robert Garcia in April. A May field hearing featured Epstein survivor testimonies amid scrutiny of her minimum-security transfer, heightening political risks. Rumors of Trump planning 250 pardons for America's 250th anniversary exclude her prominently, underscoring barriers like public backlash and focus on other priorities through 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$552,038 Объем
$552,038 Объем
Да
$552,038 Объем
$552,038 Объем
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...Trader consensus prices a Ghislaine Maxwell pardon by Trump at under 10% likelihood, reflecting no official White House signals or executive actions despite her exhausted appeals—Supreme Court declined review in October 2025—and ongoing incarceration following her 2022 sex-trafficking conviction. Recent House Oversight Committee discussions revealed some Republicans open to clemency if Maxwell cooperates on Jeffrey Epstein files, prompting Democratic outrage and resolutions opposing it, as voiced by Ranking Member Robert Garcia in April. A May field hearing featured Epstein survivor testimonies amid scrutiny of her minimum-security transfer, heightening political risks. Rumors of Trump planning 250 pardons for America's 250th anniversary exclude her prominently, underscoring barriers like public backlash and focus on other priorities through 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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