Trader consensus reflects a 64.5% implied probability of the House of Representatives approving articles of impeachment against President Trump by simple majority before his January 2029 term ends, fueled by Democratic preparations for a potential Day One vote post-2026 midterms. Late April polling showed 55% public support amid Trump's declining approval ratings, linked to controversies over Iran escalations, deportation flights halted by appeals courts, and recent social media posts prompting 25th Amendment pushes. House Democrats, with figures like Reps. Al Green and John Larson filing resolutions, anticipate flipping the slim Republican majority in November battlegrounds, enabling passage despite unlikely Senate two-thirds conviction. Midterm polling trends and GOP vulnerabilities sustain elevated odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБудет ли Трамп подвергнут импичменту до истечения срока его полномочий?
Будет ли Трамп подвергнут импичменту до истечения срока его полномочий?
Да
$62,235 Объем
$62,235 Объем
20 янв. 2029 г.
Да
$62,235 Объем
$62,235 Объем
20 янв. 2029 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus reflects a 64.5% implied probability of the House of Representatives approving articles of impeachment against President Trump by simple majority before his January 2029 term ends, fueled by Democratic preparations for a potential Day One vote post-2026 midterms. Late April polling showed 55% public support amid Trump's declining approval ratings, linked to controversies over Iran escalations, deportation flights halted by appeals courts, and recent social media posts prompting 25th Amendment pushes. House Democrats, with figures like Reps. Al Green and John Larson filing resolutions, anticipate flipping the slim Republican majority in November battlegrounds, enabling passage despite unlikely Senate two-thirds conviction. Midterm polling trends and GOP vulnerabilities sustain elevated odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Объем
$62,235Дата окончания
20 янв. 2029 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus reflects a 64.5% implied probability of the House of Representatives approving articles of impeachment against President Trump by simple majority before his January 2029 term ends, fueled by Democratic preparations for a potential Day One vote post-2026 midterms. Late April polling showed 55% public support amid Trump's declining approval ratings, linked to controversies over Iran escalations, deportation flights halted by appeals courts, and recent social media posts prompting 25th Amendment pushes. House Democrats, with figures like Reps. Al Green and John Larson filing resolutions, anticipate flipping the slim Republican majority in November battlegrounds, enabling passage despite unlikely Senate two-thirds conviction. Midterm polling trends and GOP vulnerabilities sustain elevated odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Объем
$62,235Дата окончания
20 янв. 2029 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 64.5% implied probability of the House of Representatives approving articles of impeachment against President Trump by simple majority before his January 2029 term ends, fueled by Democratic preparations for a potential Day One vote post-2026 midterms. Late April polling showed 55% public support amid Trump's declining approval ratings, linked to controversies over Iran escalations, deportation flights halted by appeals courts, and recent social media posts prompting 25th Amendment pushes. House Democrats, with figures like Reps. Al Green and John Larson filing resolutions, anticipate flipping the slim Republican majority in November battlegrounds, enabling passage despite unlikely Senate two-thirds conviction. Midterm polling trends and GOP vulnerabilities sustain elevated odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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