Skip to main content
icon for Мэр Нью-Йорка # размещает сообщения с 18 по 25 августа 2026 года?

Мэр Нью-Йорка # размещает сообщения с 18 по 25 августа 2026 года?

icon for Мэр Нью-Йорка # размещает сообщения с 18 по 25 августа 2026 года?

Мэр Нью-Йорка # размещает сообщения с 18 по 25 августа 2026 года?

20-39 97.1%

40-59 1.6%

60-79 <1%

80-99 <1%

Polymarket

$15,667 Объем

20-39 97.1%

40-59 1.6%

60-79 <1%

80-99 <1%

Polymarket

$15,667 Объем

20-39

$6,531 Объем

90%

40-59

$2,151 Объем

2%

60-79

$2,199 Объем

1%

80-99

$693 Объем

<1%

100-119

$433 Объем

<1%

120-139

$321 Объем

<1%

140-159

$316 Объем

<1%

160-179

$379 Объем

<1%

180-199

$379 Объем

<1%

200+

$317 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s official @NYCMayor account has maintained a steady posting cadence on X that aligns with the 20-39 range.** Recent weeks, including the immediately prior period ending August 18, resolved squarely in this band, reflecting routine administrative communications, public service announcements, policy updates, and departmental coordination rather than high-volume crisis or campaign-style activity. As of late August 2026, no major breaking events, scandals, or scheduled milestones have altered this pattern during the current window. Traders price the frontrunner outcome at 97.5% because the mayor’s communication rhythm has proven consistent under the current administration. Outlier ranges remain possible only in the event of an unforeseen citywide emergency, sudden policy push requiring frequent updates, or deliberate change in posting strategy—none of which appear imminent based on available developments.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$15,667
Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s official @NYCMayor account has maintained a steady posting cadence on X that aligns with the 20-39 range.** Recent weeks, including the immediately prior period ending August 18, resolved squarely in this band, reflecting routine administrative communications, public service announcements, policy updates, and departmental coordination rather than high-volume crisis or campaign-style activity. As of late August 2026, no major breaking events, scandals, or scheduled milestones have altered this pattern during the current window. Traders price the frontrunner outcome at 97.5% because the mayor’s communication rhythm has proven consistent under the current administration. Outlier ranges remain possible only in the event of an unforeseen citywide emergency, sudden policy push requiring frequent updates, or deliberate change in posting strategy—none of which appear imminent based on available developments.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$15,667
Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Мэр Нью-Йорка # размещает сообщения с 18 по 25 августа 2026 года?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «20-39» с 90%, за ним следует «40-59» с 2%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 90¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 90%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Мэр Нью-Йорка # размещает сообщения с 18 по 25 августа 2026 года?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $15.7K с момента запуска рынка Aug 15, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Мэр Нью-Йорка # размещает сообщения с 18 по 25 августа 2026 года?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Мэр Нью-Йорка # размещает сообщения с 18 по 25 августа 2026 года?» — «20-39» с 90%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 90%. Следующий ближайший исход — «40-59» с 2%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Мэр Нью-Йорка # размещает сообщения с 18 по 25 августа 2026 года?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.