Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the August 18–25 window has settled into a steady 45–50 posts per day, locking the seven-day total near 330 and driving overwhelming trader consensus on the 320–339 bucket. Ongoing SpaceX and Starship commentary, Grok and AI exchanges, and routine replies to high-engagement accounts have sustained this cadence without the spikes that accompany major launches or controversies. With the period nearly complete and daily pacing consistent, markets treat the range as effectively settled. An upset into 340+ would require a last-minute surge—perhaps tied to an unplanned announcement or viral thread—while dropping below 320 would demand an abrupt slowdown atypical of Musk’s recent patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено320-339 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$4,450,965 Объем
$4,450,965 Объем
25 авг. 2026 г.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
Yes
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
320-339 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$4,450,965 Объем
$4,450,965 Объем
25 авг. 2026 г.
<20
$11,411 Объем
No
20-39
$28,671 Объем
No
40-59
$40,557 Объем
No
60-79
$55,711 Объем
No
80-99
$46,013 Объем
No
100-119
$55,445 Объем
No
120-139
$58,976 Объем
No
140-159
$76,956 Объем
No
160-179
$67,491 Объем
No
180-199
$75,541 Объем
No
200-219
$156,665 Объем
No
220-239
$164,403 Объем
No
240-259
$362,235 Объем
No
260-279
$280,194 Объем
No
280-299
$310,539 Объем
No
300-319
$298,984 Объем
No
320-339
$310,889 Объем
Yes
340-359
$354,624 Объем
No
360-379
$268,578 Объем
No
380-399
$286,531 Объем
No
400-419
$270,733 Объем
No
420-439
$229,570 Объем
No
440-459
$154,508 Объем
No
460-479
$136,325 Объем
No
480-499
$125,544 Объем
No
500+
$223,871 Объем
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the August 18–25 window has settled into a steady 45–50 posts per day, locking the seven-day total near 330 and driving overwhelming trader consensus on the 320–339 bucket. Ongoing SpaceX and Starship commentary, Grok and AI exchanges, and routine replies to high-engagement accounts have sustained this cadence without the spikes that accompany major launches or controversies. With the period nearly complete and daily pacing consistent, markets treat the range as effectively settled. An upset into 340+ would require a last-minute surge—perhaps tied to an unplanned announcement or viral thread—while dropping below 320 would demand an abrupt slowdown atypical of Musk’s recent patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Объем
$4,450,965Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the August 18–25 window has settled into a steady 45–50 posts per day, locking the seven-day total near 330 and driving overwhelming trader consensus on the 320–339 bucket. Ongoing SpaceX and Starship commentary, Grok and AI exchanges, and routine replies to high-engagement accounts have sustained this cadence without the spikes that accompany major launches or controversies. With the period nearly complete and daily pacing consistent, markets treat the range as effectively settled. An upset into 340+ would require a last-minute surge—perhaps tied to an unplanned announcement or viral thread—while dropping below 320 would demand an abrupt slowdown atypical of Musk’s recent patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$4,450,965Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Elon Musk’s tweet volume for the August 18–25 window has settled into a steady 45–50 posts per day, locking the seven-day total near 330 and driving overwhelming trader consensus on the 320–339 bucket. Ongoing SpaceX and Starship commentary, Grok and AI exchanges, and routine replies to high-engagement accounts have sustained this cadence without the spikes that accompany major launches or controversies. With the period nearly complete and daily pacing consistent, markets treat the range as effectively settled. An upset into 340+ would require a last-minute surge—perhaps tied to an unplanned announcement or viral thread—while dropping below 320 would demand an abrupt slowdown atypical of Musk’s recent patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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