Trader sentiment clusters around the 800-919 tweet range, where the leading bins command over 60% combined implied probability, signaling expectations for steady but not extreme activity from Elon Musk. His posting pace typically averages 25-35 daily updates, driven by Tesla and xAI milestones alongside broader political and cultural commentary. With mid-September momentum holding firm amid ongoing business and public discourse, the narrow competitive spread hinges on late-month catalysts such as product reveals, viral exchanges, or election-related developments that could nudge totals higher or trigger a slowdown. Historical September patterns and the unpredictable nature of real-time engagement keep these adjacent outcomes closely contested.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено840-879 23%
800-839 22%
880-919 17%
760-799 13%
$173,732 Объем
$173,732 Объем
560-599
<1%
600-639
1%
640-679
<1%
680–719
1%
720–759
5%
760-799
13%
800-839
22%
840-879
23%
880-919
17%
920-959
10%
960-999
7%
1000-1039
3%
1040-1079
1%
1080-1119
1%
1120-1159
<1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200–1239
1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400+
<1%
840-879 23%
800-839 22%
880-919 17%
760-799 13%
$173,732 Объем
$173,732 Объем
560-599
<1%
600-639
1%
640-679
<1%
680–719
1%
720–759
5%
760-799
13%
800-839
22%
840-879
23%
880-919
17%
920-959
10%
960-999
7%
1000-1039
3%
1040-1079
1%
1080-1119
1%
1120-1159
<1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200–1239
1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters around the 800-919 tweet range, where the leading bins command over 60% combined implied probability, signaling expectations for steady but not extreme activity from Elon Musk. His posting pace typically averages 25-35 daily updates, driven by Tesla and xAI milestones alongside broader political and cultural commentary. With mid-September momentum holding firm amid ongoing business and public discourse, the narrow competitive spread hinges on late-month catalysts such as product reveals, viral exchanges, or election-related developments that could nudge totals higher or trigger a slowdown. Historical September patterns and the unpredictable nature of real-time engagement keep these adjacent outcomes closely contested.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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