Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence—averaging roughly 25–50 main-feed posts daily amid ongoing SpaceX updates, Grok feature showcases, and Starlink milestones—anchors trader sentiment around the 160–239 tweet band for the August 11–18 window. Markets price the 180–199 and 200–219 brackets highest at 17.5% each because historical weekly totals in quiet periods cluster there, while elevated activity from product announcements or viral threads can push into the low 220s. With no major Starship flight or earnings catalyst confirmed for the exact week, probabilities remain tightly bunched, reflecting uncertainty over whether routine commentary will stay steady or spike. Traders weigh these narrow margins against Musk’s proven volatility, where one high-engagement reply chain or policy post can shift totals by dozens.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено180-199 18%
200-219 18%
220-239 15%
160-179 14%
$86,390 Объем
$86,390 Объем
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
8%
160-179
14%
180-199
18%
200-219
18%
220-239
15%
240-259
11%
260-279
7%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 18%
200-219 18%
220-239 15%
160-179 14%
$86,390 Объем
$86,390 Объем
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
8%
160-179
14%
180-199
18%
200-219
18%
220-239
15%
240-259
11%
260-279
7%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence—averaging roughly 25–50 main-feed posts daily amid ongoing SpaceX updates, Grok feature showcases, and Starlink milestones—anchors trader sentiment around the 160–239 tweet band for the August 11–18 window. Markets price the 180–199 and 200–219 brackets highest at 17.5% each because historical weekly totals in quiet periods cluster there, while elevated activity from product announcements or viral threads can push into the low 220s. With no major Starship flight or earnings catalyst confirmed for the exact week, probabilities remain tightly bunched, reflecting uncertainty over whether routine commentary will stay steady or spike. Traders weigh these narrow margins against Musk’s proven volatility, where one high-engagement reply chain or policy post can shift totals by dozens.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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