**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** posted a record $360 million domestic opening weekend, surpassing Avengers: Endgame and fueling strong trader expectations for a robust sophomore frame. Exceptional word-of-mouth, Tom Holland’s star power, and minimal competition position the film for a relatively modest drop from its historic debut, with the market-implied odds clustering tightly around the 150-170 million range. Analysts note the picture’s rapid $1 billion global milestone and euphoric audience response as key momentum drivers, though typical post-opening declines for tentpoles and any emerging midweek data could still influence the exact hold. The closely contested brackets reflect uncertainty around precise percentage drops versus absolute dollars, with traders weighing the film’s exceptional tracking against historical superhero hold patterns ahead of the August 7-9 weekend.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
160-170 млн 34%
150-160 млн 28%
140-150 млн 27%
170-180 млн 24%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 авг. 2026 г.
<130 млн
11%
130-140 млн
13%
140-150 млн
27%
150-160 млн
28%
160-170 млн
34%
170-180 млн
24%
180 млн+
8%
160-170 млн 34%
150-160 млн 28%
140-150 млн 27%
170-180 млн 24%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 авг. 2026 г.
<130 млн
$16 Объем
11%
130-140 млн
$16 Объем
13%
140-150 млн
$16 Объем
27%
150-160 млн
$41 Объем
28%
160-170 млн
$41 Объем
34%
170-180 млн
$41 Объем
24%
180 млн+
$16 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** posted a record $360 million domestic opening weekend, surpassing Avengers: Endgame and fueling strong trader expectations for a robust sophomore frame. Exceptional word-of-mouth, Tom Holland’s star power, and minimal competition position the film for a relatively modest drop from its historic debut, with the market-implied odds clustering tightly around the 150-170 million range.
Analysts note the picture’s rapid $1 billion global milestone and euphoric audience response as key momentum drivers, though typical post-opening declines for tentpoles and any emerging midweek data could still influence the exact hold. The closely contested brackets reflect uncertainty around precise percentage drops versus absolute dollars, with traders weighing the film’s exceptional tracking against historical superhero hold patterns ahead of the August 7-9 weekend.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
Объем
$184Дата окончания
9 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** posted a record $360 million domestic opening weekend, surpassing Avengers: Endgame and fueling strong trader expectations for a robust sophomore frame. Exceptional word-of-mouth, Tom Holland’s star power, and minimal competition position the film for a relatively modest drop from its historic debut, with the market-implied odds clustering tightly around the 150-170 million range.
Analysts note the picture’s rapid $1 billion global milestone and euphoric audience response as key momentum drivers, though typical post-opening declines for tentpoles and any emerging midweek data could still influence the exact hold. The closely contested brackets reflect uncertainty around precise percentage drops versus absolute dollars, with traders weighing the film’s exceptional tracking against historical superhero hold patterns ahead of the August 7-9 weekend.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Объем
$184Дата окончания
9 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** posted a record $360 million domestic opening weekend, surpassing Avengers: Endgame and fueling strong trader expectations for a robust sophomore frame. Exceptional word-of-mouth, Tom Holland’s star power, and minimal competition position the film for a relatively modest drop from its historic debut, with the market-implied odds clustering tightly around the 150-170 million range. Analysts note the picture’s rapid $1 billion global milestone and euphoric audience response as key momentum drivers, though typical post-opening declines for tentpoles and any emerging midweek data could still influence the exact hold. The closely contested brackets reflect uncertainty around precise percentage drops versus absolute dollars, with traders weighing the film’s exceptional tracking against historical superhero hold patterns ahead of the August 7-9 weekend.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 180m?
89%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 1000m and 1020m by August 31?
47%
Будет ли общий внутренний валовой доход фильма «Человек-паук: Совершенно новый день» по крайней мере 900 млн к 31 августа?
82%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы