**Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s dominant July 31 opening has anchored trader consensus at a 74.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 opening week.** Strong pre-release tracking, widespread trailer engagement, and the established Marvel audience propelled its theatrical debut well ahead of summer competitors. Avengers: Doomsday sits at 24% as the leading holiday contender with its December 18 date, though it shares the slot with Dune: Messiah, creating built-in competition that tempers its projected opening. Toy Story 5’s earlier June release established solid family-audience benchmarks but fell short of the scale needed to challenge the frontrunner. The two late-year titles—Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping in November and the December pair—remain long shots at 0.1% each, reflecting limited visibility into final marketing pushes and holiday box-office dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 75%
Avengers: Doomsday 24%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$65,352 Объем
$65,352 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
75%
Avengers: Doomsday
24%
Toy Story 5
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 75%
Avengers: Doomsday 24%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$65,352 Объем
$65,352 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$15,481 Объем
75%
Avengers: Doomsday
$17,777 Объем
24%
Toy Story 5
$3,366 Объем
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,178 Объем
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s dominant July 31 opening has anchored trader consensus at a 74.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 opening week.** Strong pre-release tracking, widespread trailer engagement, and the established Marvel audience propelled its theatrical debut well ahead of summer competitors. Avengers: Doomsday sits at 24% as the leading holiday contender with its December 18 date, though it shares the slot with Dune: Messiah, creating built-in competition that tempers its projected opening. Toy Story 5’s earlier June release established solid family-audience benchmarks but fell short of the scale needed to challenge the frontrunner. The two late-year titles—Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping in November and the December pair—remain long shots at 0.1% each, reflecting limited visibility into final marketing pushes and holiday box-office dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Объем
$65,352Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s dominant July 31 opening has anchored trader consensus at a 74.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 opening week.** Strong pre-release tracking, widespread trailer engagement, and the established Marvel audience propelled its theatrical debut well ahead of summer competitors. Avengers: Doomsday sits at 24% as the leading holiday contender with its December 18 date, though it shares the slot with Dune: Messiah, creating built-in competition that tempers its projected opening. Toy Story 5’s earlier June release established solid family-audience benchmarks but fell short of the scale needed to challenge the frontrunner. The two late-year titles—Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping in November and the December pair—remain long shots at 0.1% each, reflecting limited visibility into final marketing pushes and holiday box-office dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Объем
$65,352Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s dominant July 31 opening has anchored trader consensus at a 74.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 opening week.** Strong pre-release tracking, widespread trailer engagement, and the established Marvel audience propelled its theatrical debut well ahead of summer competitors. Avengers: Doomsday sits at 24% as the leading holiday contender with its December 18 date, though it shares the slot with Dune: Messiah, creating built-in competition that tempers its projected opening. Toy Story 5’s earlier June release established solid family-audience benchmarks but fell short of the scale needed to challenge the frontrunner. The two late-year titles—Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping in November and the December pair—remain long shots at 0.1% each, reflecting limited visibility into final marketing pushes and holiday box-office dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы