Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering July 31 domestic opening near $360 million, driven by unprecedented preview sales and strong early audience reception, has anchored trader consensus at 74.5 percent. The film’s multiversal storyline, Tom Holland’s star power, and favorable summer positioning allowed it to eclipse prior benchmarks and secure the year’s largest launch to date. Avengers: Doomsday retains 24 percent support on the strength of its December 18 ensemble hype and pre-sale momentum, though same-weekend competition from Dune: Messiah and a compressed holiday window limit upside. Toy Story 5’s solid June opening and franchise familiarity keep it in the mix at low odds, while later releases like The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping face steeper barriers against these established front-runners.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 75%
Avengers: Doomsday 24%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$65,302 Объем
$65,302 Объем
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
75%
Avengers: Doomsday
24%
Toy Story 5
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 75%
Avengers: Doomsday 24%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$65,302 Объем
$65,302 Объем
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
75%
Avengers: Doomsday
24%
Toy Story 5
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering July 31 domestic opening near $360 million, driven by unprecedented preview sales and strong early audience reception, has anchored trader consensus at 74.5 percent. The film’s multiversal storyline, Tom Holland’s star power, and favorable summer positioning allowed it to eclipse prior benchmarks and secure the year’s largest launch to date. Avengers: Doomsday retains 24 percent support on the strength of its December 18 ensemble hype and pre-sale momentum, though same-weekend competition from Dune: Messiah and a compressed holiday window limit upside. Toy Story 5’s solid June opening and franchise familiarity keep it in the mix at low odds, while later releases like The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping face steeper barriers against these established front-runners.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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