Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third weekend is tracking toward the mid-to-high $60 million range amid a 50-55% drop from its $144 million second frame, driven by sustained audience demand and minimal August competition. After a record $360 million opening and swift climb past $700 million domestic, the Sony/Marvel title benefits from strong word-of-mouth, repeat viewership, and premium format holdover that have outpaced typical superhero legs. Industry trackers cite a $67 million Friday estimate pointing to roughly $67 million for the frame, positioning the film to extend its record 2026 pace while fewer counterprogramming options limit downside risk. Traders see the tight 66-70 million cluster as reflecting these stable fundamentals versus the historical variability in third-weekend drops for tentpoles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено«Человек-паук: Совершенно новый день» 3-я касса выходного дня (Lower Strikes)
«Человек-паук: Совершенно новый день» 3-я касса выходного дня (Lower Strikes)
68-70m 34.0%
66-68m 32%
<66m 15%
72 млн+ 14.6%
НОВОЕ
$16,433 Объем
НОВОЕ
$16,433 Объем
16 авг. 2026 г.
<66m
15%
66-68m
32%
68-70m
33%
70-72m
19%
72 млн+
15%
68-70m 34.0%
66-68m 32%
<66m 15%
72 млн+ 14.6%
НОВОЕ
$16,433 Объем
НОВОЕ
$16,433 Объем
16 авг. 2026 г.
<66m
$6,803 Объем
15%
66-68m
$4,135 Объем
32%
68-70m
$2,186 Объем
33%
70-72m
$1,327 Объем
19%
72 млн+
$1,982 Объем
15%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third weekend is tracking toward the mid-to-high $60 million range amid a 50-55% drop from its $144 million second frame, driven by sustained audience demand and minimal August competition. After a record $360 million opening and swift climb past $700 million domestic, the Sony/Marvel title benefits from strong word-of-mouth, repeat viewership, and premium format holdover that have outpaced typical superhero legs. Industry trackers cite a $67 million Friday estimate pointing to roughly $67 million for the frame, positioning the film to extend its record 2026 pace while fewer counterprogramming options limit downside risk. Traders see the tight 66-70 million cluster as reflecting these stable fundamentals versus the historical variability in third-weekend drops for tentpoles.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ET
Объем
$16,433Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third weekend is tracking toward the mid-to-high $60 million range amid a 50-55% drop from its $144 million second frame, driven by sustained audience demand and minimal August competition. After a record $360 million opening and swift climb past $700 million domestic, the Sony/Marvel title benefits from strong word-of-mouth, repeat viewership, and premium format holdover that have outpaced typical superhero legs. Industry trackers cite a $67 million Friday estimate pointing to roughly $67 million for the frame, positioning the film to extend its record 2026 pace while fewer counterprogramming options limit downside risk. Traders see the tight 66-70 million cluster as reflecting these stable fundamentals versus the historical variability in third-weekend drops for tentpoles.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Объем
$16,433Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third weekend is tracking toward the mid-to-high $60 million range amid a 50-55% drop from its $144 million second frame, driven by sustained audience demand and minimal August competition. After a record $360 million opening and swift climb past $700 million domestic, the Sony/Marvel title benefits from strong word-of-mouth, repeat viewership, and premium format holdover that have outpaced typical superhero legs. Industry trackers cite a $67 million Friday estimate pointing to roughly $67 million for the frame, positioning the film to extend its record 2026 pace while fewer counterprogramming options limit downside risk. Traders see the tight 66-70 million cluster as reflecting these stable fundamentals versus the historical variability in third-weekend drops for tentpoles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будут ли сборы за третий уикенд фильма «Человек-паук: Совершенно новый день» менее 72 млн?
96%
Да
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?
81%
Будет ли общий внутренний валовой доход фильма «Человек-паук: Совершенно новый день» находиться в диапазоне от 800 до 900 миллионов к 31 августа?
81%
Да
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