Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening in late July established it as the clear 2026 leader and positioned the film as the market favorite for second place unless a larger debut materializes. Avengers: Doomsday’s upcoming holiday slot creates the main competitive tension, with strong presales and MCU crossover appeal offering a realistic path to challenge the top two spots. Earlier releases such as Toy Story 5’s $160 million start and other summer titles sit well behind, while upcoming wide releases face compressed windows and heavier competition. Traders weigh confirmed box-office data and historical superhero patterns against the uncertainty of late-year tracking and potential holiday legs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакой фильм имеет второй по величине начальный уик-энд в 2026 году?
Какой фильм имеет второй по величине начальный уик-энд в 2026 году?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 55%
Avengers: Doomsday 44%
Toy Story 5 <1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$121,238 Объем
$121,238 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
55%
Avengers: Doomsday
44%
Toy Story 5
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 55%
Avengers: Doomsday 44%
Toy Story 5 <1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$121,238 Объем
$121,238 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$62,910 Объем
55%
Avengers: Doomsday
$45,596 Объем
44%
Toy Story 5
$2,679 Объем
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$482 Объем
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$8,291 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening in late July established it as the clear 2026 leader and positioned the film as the market favorite for second place unless a larger debut materializes. Avengers: Doomsday’s upcoming holiday slot creates the main competitive tension, with strong presales and MCU crossover appeal offering a realistic path to challenge the top two spots. Earlier releases such as Toy Story 5’s $160 million start and other summer titles sit well behind, while upcoming wide releases face compressed windows and heavier competition. Traders weigh confirmed box-office data and historical superhero patterns against the uncertainty of late-year tracking and potential holiday legs.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ET
Объем
$121,238Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening in late July established it as the clear 2026 leader and positioned the film as the market favorite for second place unless a larger debut materializes. Avengers: Doomsday’s upcoming holiday slot creates the main competitive tension, with strong presales and MCU crossover appeal offering a realistic path to challenge the top two spots. Earlier releases such as Toy Story 5’s $160 million start and other summer titles sit well behind, while upcoming wide releases face compressed windows and heavier competition. Traders weigh confirmed box-office data and historical superhero patterns against the uncertainty of late-year tracking and potential holiday legs.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Объем
$121,238Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening in late July established it as the clear 2026 leader and positioned the film as the market favorite for second place unless a larger debut materializes. Avengers: Doomsday’s upcoming holiday slot creates the main competitive tension, with strong presales and MCU crossover appeal offering a realistic path to challenge the top two spots. Earlier releases such as Toy Story 5’s $160 million start and other summer titles sit well behind, while upcoming wide releases face compressed windows and heavier competition. Traders weigh confirmed box-office data and historical superhero patterns against the uncertainty of late-year tracking and potential holiday legs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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