Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume posting on X drives the tight clustering of probabilities across the 180–279 tweet ranges for the August 4–11 window. Traders price in his baseline output of roughly 25–35 posts daily, shaped by ongoing Tesla and xAI developments, occasional political commentary, and real-time reactions to news, while noting that summer lulls or focused work periods can suppress volume. The spread among leading bins reflects uncertainty over whether any late-breaking business or cultural moments will spike activity, with no major scheduled catalysts currently anchoring expectations. Historical weekly totals near 200 tweets support the market’s even distribution rather than a single dominant outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоElon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?
240-259 20%
80-99 17%
380-399 17%
400-419 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 авг. 2026 г.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
17%
100-119
9%
120-139
7%
140-159
10%
160-179
11%
180-199
16%
200-219
17%
220-239
15%
240-259
20%
260-279
13%
280-299
12%
300-319
10%
320-339
2%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
17%
400-419
17%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500+
1%
240-259 20%
80-99 17%
380-399 17%
400-419 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 авг. 2026 г.
<20
$1,675 Объем
<1%
20-39
$1,625 Объем
<1%
40-59
$1,625 Объем
<1%
60-79
$826 Объем
<1%
80-99
$10 Объем
17%
100-119
$10 Объем
9%
120-139
$15 Объем
7%
140-159
$15 Объем
10%
160-179
$15 Объем
11%
180-199
$15 Объем
16%
200-219
$15 Объем
17%
220-239
$15 Объем
15%
240-259
$30 Объем
20%
260-279
$15 Объем
13%
280-299
$15 Объем
12%
300-319
$15 Объем
10%
320-339
$15 Объем
2%
340-359
$15 Объем
1%
360-379
$115 Объем
1%
380-399
$10 Объем
17%
400-419
$10 Объем
17%
420-439
$25 Объем
1%
440-459
$25 Объем
1%
460-479
$25 Объем
1%
480-499
$125 Объем
1%
500+
$25 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume posting on X drives the tight clustering of probabilities across the 180–279 tweet ranges for the August 4–11 window. Traders price in his baseline output of roughly 25–35 posts daily, shaped by ongoing Tesla and xAI developments, occasional political commentary, and real-time reactions to news, while noting that summer lulls or focused work periods can suppress volume. The spread among leading bins reflects uncertainty over whether any late-breaking business or cultural moments will spike activity, with no major scheduled catalysts currently anchoring expectations. Historical weekly totals near 200 tweets support the market’s even distribution rather than a single dominant outcome.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Объем
$6,326Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume posting on X drives the tight clustering of probabilities across the 180–279 tweet ranges for the August 4–11 window. Traders price in his baseline output of roughly 25–35 posts daily, shaped by ongoing Tesla and xAI developments, occasional political commentary, and real-time reactions to news, while noting that summer lulls or focused work periods can suppress volume. The spread among leading bins reflects uncertainty over whether any late-breaking business or cultural moments will spike activity, with no major scheduled catalysts currently anchoring expectations. Historical weekly totals near 200 tweets support the market’s even distribution rather than a single dominant outcome.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$6,326Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume posting on X drives the tight clustering of probabilities across the 180–279 tweet ranges for the August 4–11 window. Traders price in his baseline output of roughly 25–35 posts daily, shaped by ongoing Tesla and xAI developments, occasional political commentary, and real-time reactions to news, while noting that summer lulls or focused work periods can suppress volume. The spread among leading bins reflects uncertainty over whether any late-breaking business or cultural moments will spike activity, with no major scheduled catalysts currently anchoring expectations. Historical weekly totals near 200 tweets support the market’s even distribution rather than a single dominant outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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